Basketball Prospectus: Unfiltered Everything Else is Fluff.

March 21, 2011

Starting tomorrow: The essential Sweet 16 previews

Filed under: Uncategorized — John Gasaway @ 12:53 pm

It took 52 games and five days but we at last have a Sweet 16, one that is exactly as chalk (or not) as last year’s. The average seed of surviving teams is 5.0, just like in 2010. What are the chances?

Seen in historical terms, that number represents a fair amount of mayhem in the brackets. For your future reference here are the extremes….

Wackiest no-chalk Sweet 16s
Highest average seed, 1985 – 2011

       Avg. seed
1986      5.6
1999      5.5
1990      5.5

Least wacky all-chalk Sweet 16s
Lowest average seed, 1985 – 2011

       Avg. seed
2009      3.1
1989      3.1
2007      3.2

Seeing as the NCAA invested this much effort in whittling the field down to 16 teams, we’ve decided to spread our four full-length Sweet 16 previews across two whole days, starting tomorrow. It’ll be a preview roadblock, courtesy of Ken Pomeroy (East and Southwest) and yours truly (Southeast and West).

As with the regional previews you enjoyed last week, the analysis will be lucid, lilting, and log5-fueled, guaranteed. See you tomorrow!

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