Basketball Prospectus: Unfiltered Everything Else is Fluff.

March 7, 2011

Log5: Big East

Filed under: Uncategorized — John Gasaway @ 8:42 pm

My Big East tournament preview will run concurrently here and at ESPN Insider later tonight/early tomorrow. But for those of you who just can’t wait for Ken Pomeroy‘s log5 odds, here you go:

Seed                   Rd1    Qtrs   Semis   Final   Champ
 1 Pitt                100     100    72.9    44.3    29.4
 4 Syracuse            100     100    57.8    27.5    15.9
 3 Louisville          100     100    59.0    31.0    13.3
 2 Notre Dame          100     100    55.5    29.3    12.5
 5 St. John's          100    78.5    37.7    17.2     9.6
 7 Cincinnati          100    60.8    28.8    14.5     5.8
 6 West Virginia       100    63.5    28.4    13.5     5.1
10 Villanova          85.6    37.5    15.5     6.8     2.4
 8 Georgetown          100    52.8    14.3     5.3     2.2
 9 Connecticut        92.8    46.6    12.7     4.7     2.0
11 Marquette          76.4    32.1    11.9     4.7     1.5
12 Seton Hall         63.7    15.7     3.6     0.8     0.2
13 Rutgers            36.3     5.7     0.8     0.1     0.02
14 Providence         23.6     4.3     0.7     0.1     0.01
15 South Florida      14.4     1.7     0.2     0.02    0.002
16 DePaul              7.2     0.5     0.01    0.0007  0.00004

St. John’s is credited here with a full home-court advantage. That and the fact that Steve Lavin‘s team gets the winner Rutgers-Seton Hall (possibly the only game in a 15-game tournament that will not include an NCAA tournament team) gives the Johnnies a better look here than one might expect from a group that outscored its league by just 0.02 points per trip. That being said, Pitt is, of course, the favorite.

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