Basketball Prospectus: Unfiltered Everything Else is Fluff.

March 7, 2010

Belated MAC tournament probabilities

Filed under: Uncategorized — Ken Pomeroy @ 7:38 pm

My apologies to MAC fans everywhere. The MAC tournament started today at campus sites and will continue on Thursday in Cleveland where the remaining eight teams will be whittled to one by Saturday. The MAC is notable for having an SEC-like divisional imbalance. The East went 26-10 against the West. This allows Western Michigan and Ohio to have impressive chances considering they are a seven- and nine-seed, respectively.

All of the favorites won their first-round games today, although that included Ohio winning at eight-seed Ball State. The following chances are based on Sunday morning’s ratings.

Mid-American Conference (March 7, 11-13, first round at campus sites, remainder in Cleveland.)

                 Qtrs    Semis    Final    Champ
1  Kent St.       100     73.9     55.3     40.0
3  Akron          100     72.8     47.2     21.2
7  W. Michigan   81.2     50.2     23.8      8.7
4  Miami OH       100     54.9     17.3      8.6
9  Ohio          68.8     22.8     13.6      7.8
5  Buffalo       96.4     44.8     12.9      5.9
2  C. Michigan    100     42.0     15.2      4.1
6  E. Michigan   81.4     24.3     10.8      2.9
10 Bowling Green 18.8      7.9      2.3      0.5
8  Ball St.      31.2      3.3      0.9      0.2
11 N. Illinois   18.6      2.9      0.7      0.1
12 Toledo         3.6      0.2      0.01     0.0004

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