Basketball Prospectus: Unfiltered Everything Else is Fluff.

March 15, 2009

Epilogue

Filed under: Uncategorized — jsheehan @ 4:13 pm

Mississippi State won a comical ending against Tennessee, one that featured at least two phantom fouls in the last 15 seconds, and some terrible play by both teams. That puts them in the tournament, and costs, at least in my bracket, San Diego State its spot. I’ve shuffled the decks a bit. Here are the details:

Last four in: Creighton, Minnesota, Maryland, Dayton
Last four out: San Diego State, Penn State, Auburn, St. Mary’s
Next four out:  New Mexico, UNLV, Tulsa, Niagara
I don’t do bracketing, in no small part because I think the decisions on where to send teams geographically drive so many of the decisions that the seedings we see may not reflect the S-curve as closely as we’d like. Joe Lunardi, Jerry Palm…these guys have that stuff down, and I have this whole other sport to focus on. I did put together an S-curve, which is as close as I’ll get to seeding these teams.

I have Duke over Memphis for the final #1 seed, based on the quality wins. As I mentioned in today’s column, I’m starting to wonder whether Conference USA needs to be re-evaluated. I also have UConn lower than most, because they have been a different team since the Kevin Dyson injury. I could make a case for Oklahoma as a #3 for the same reasons, but I don’t know which team I’d elevate. The 2/15 games could be fairly interesting this year. If Memphis gets a #1 seed, they could hold a #16 under 20 points.

Thanks for following along this year. Both John Gasaway and I will have bracket analysis tomorrow, and I’ll be chatting hoops and baseball over at the mothership at 1 p.m. Monday.

Louisville
North Carolina
Pittsburgh
Duke
Memphis
Michigan State
Connecticut
Oklahoma
Missouri
Kansas
Syracuse
Purdue
Villanova
Wake Forest
Washington
Florida State
Ohio State
Clemson
Gonzaga
Utah
Xavier
West Virginia
Illinois
Arizona State
Tennessee
Marquette
Oklahoma State
Texas
UCLA
LSU
Butler
Southern California
Utah State
Texas A&M
California
Brigham Young
Siena
Boston College
Michigan
Wisconsin
Dayton
Maryland
Minnesota
Temple
Mississippi State
Creighton
Western Kentucky
VCU
Northern Iowa
Cleveland State
American
North Dakota State
Stephen F. Austin
Akron
Binghamton
Portland State
Robert Morris
Cornell
ETSU
Morgan State
Cal State-Northridge
Radford
Morehead State
Chattanooga
Alabama State
 

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