Pro Basketball Prospectus 2011-12
Downloadable sample chapters
Introduction by Bradford Doolittle and Kevin Pelton
Foreword by Dwane Casey, Toronto Head Coach
Washington Wizards team chapter
Minnesota Timberwolves player comments
About the Book
Just in time for the start of the season on Christmas Day, the Pro Basketball Prospectus series returns to preview the 2011-12 NBA campaign. Basketball Prospectus has been at the cutting edge of the league's statistical revolution, exploring how teams win and why as well as integrating plenty of old-fashioned tape and first-hand observation to analyze players and teams. Now in its third year, Pro Basketball Prospectus has been called "insistently readable" and "consistently eye-opening" by FreeDarko.
Pro Basketball Prospectus 2011-12 features:
- Essays on all 30 teams updated with all moves since the lockout through Dec. 19
- Five-year team trend tables
- Info-packed tables on every player who saw NBA action in 2011-12 or who can be expected to be seen in the upcoming season, including their advanced stats for the last three seasons, their skill ratings and their contract status
- Commentary on every player
- Team and player contract information and salary-cap analysis
- The results of Kevin Pelton's dynamic SCHOENE projection system, both for players and teams
- Insight from blog authors on their teams
- A foreword by Toronto Raptors head coach Dwane Casey
- Feature essays, including research and analysis by Prospectus contributors Dan Feldman, Neil Paine and Sebastian Pruiti.
"Anyone who reads what Brad and Kevin have put together cannot help but come out a smarter fan on the other end. Basically, if you consider yourself a basketball fan and you are not reading this book, then you ought to turn in your serious fan credentials."
- Daryl Morey, general manager, Houston Rockets
"THE book for any NBA fan - entertaining, massive, featuring innovative ratings and projections. There's new research that breaks ground, often slipped into insightful team or player profiles, and bold predictions (some of which, fortunately, are fallible)."
- Roland Beech, director of quantitative analysis, 2011-12 NBA champion Dallas Mavericks.
"This is partly a reference book, but every NBA fan should sit down with this book before the season and read it cover to cover, like a novel. It's a story of my team, your team, everybody's team, and, no matter how much basketball you watch, will make you look at the game in a way you never have before."
- Will Leitch, contributing editor, New York Magazine; founder, Deadspin; author of God Save the Fan
"Basketball Prospectus is using a lot of the best statistical knowledge on basketball to paint pictures of how NBA teams are evolving--who they were in 2009-10 and who they are becoming in the future."
- Dean Oliver, director, production analytics, ESPN; author of Basketball on Paper
"One of the beautiful parts of NBA basketball is that there's so much more going on than meets the eye. Well, here's all the stuff you can't see--the in-depth statistics, the breakdown of individual players, the reasons why the best teams win in the fourth quarter. Want to know who is the next star, who belongs on the bench, which teams are ready to step up and fall off? This is the place. People say baseball is a sport of statistics, but the Prospectus shows once again that it isn't the sport, it's the analysis that counts."
- Joe Posnanski, senior writer, Sports Illustrated; author of The Soul of Baseball and The Machine
Pro Basketball Prospectus 2011-12
Digital download $9.98 - Buy now!
Jan 3 - Because of the timing for releasing our annual Pro Basketball Prospectus book, a few players tend to slip through the cracks and do not appear--those signed late in training camp, or who make the team as invitees. This year, Bradford Doolittle and I are pleased to offer a supplementary .PDF covering the 18 players that made rosters and were not in the book, with projected stat tables just as for the 500-plus players who were included as well as commentary and analysis. The supplement is available to all readers and can be downloaded here.
As a reminder, if you haven't picked up your copy of Pro Basketball Prospectus 2011-12, the book is now available in both .PDF and paperback formats. For more details and to order, check out our PBP11-12 landing page.
Dec 30 - If you've been waiting to get your copy of Pro Basketball Prospectus 2011-12 in paperback format, wait no longer! The printed book is now available on Amazon.com. To learn more about the book and read excerpts, be sure to check out our PBP11-12 page.
Dec 27 - If you've already purchased your PDF copy of Pro Basketball Prospectus 2011-12, be sure to download an updated version 2, now available. If you're logged in to the site, just click on "manage account" and the new PDF should be there in your list of available downloads. Version 2 has all players listed with their teams as of last Wednesday, including a couple of small updates to player capsules. It also adds the cover, fixes some typos and features a player index.
If you're waiting to buy the book in paperback form, stay tuned. We expect to have it available later in the week.
Dec 20 - Bradford Doolittle and I are thrilled to announce that the Pro Basketball Prospectus 2011-12 is now available for purchase in PDF format for $9.98. Head on over to our PBP 11-12 page to read sample chapters, including the foreword by Toronto Raptors head coach Dwane Casey, and find out more about what is inside the book.
Because of the abbreviated timeline after the lockout, you'll notice this year's book looks a little different than past editions. All players are with the team they played for as of June 30, the spacing is somewhat inconsistent and there is as yet no player index. We continue to work on a second version of the book that will be uploaded later this week. You can buy the book now, start reading to prepare for the Christmas Day openers and download version two for no charge when it's available. This version is, however, updated with all player moves through this morning.
If you'd rather wait for a printed copy, we anticipate the book appearing on Amazon.com shortly and will have an update on the Unfiltered blog when that happens.
(Also, in a development that might be overshadowed, the SCHOENE fantasy spreadsheet has also been updated with the latest moves.)
You can contact Kevin at firstname.lastname@example.org. Follow him on Twitter at @kpelton.