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February 9, 2012

Premium Article By the Numbers: SCHOENE Picks All-Stars

by Kevin Pelton

When it comes to selecting All-Stars, it's important to balance current level of play and past performance. That's precisely what our SCHOENE in-season projection is designed to do. Who would it pick as All-Stars?

February 8, 2012

Premium Article Achilles Heel: Clippers Will Miss Billups' Size

by Kevin Pelton

With Chauncey Billups' season finished (and career in jeopardy) because of a ruptured Achilles, the Clippers should be able to continue to score well but will miss Billups' size at the defensive end of the floor.

February 7, 2012

Close Call: Thunder Tops Blazers

by Kevin Pelton

With the benefit of a questionable goaltending call, the Oklahoma City Thunder pulled out a narrow road win Monday in Portland. The outcome is typical of the difference between the two teams' records and their respective point differentials.

February 6, 2012

All-Star Reserves: Our Picks

by Kevin Pelton

With coaches' votes on All-Star reserves due early this week, a look at who ought to fill out the rosters in Orlando based on a combination of performance this season and track record.

February 2, 2012

Premium Article Growing Importance: The Value of Threes

by Kevin Pelton

While this lockout-shortened season may be an exception, the numbers indicate that three-point shooting has grown in importance recently. Making threes is most valuable, but merely taking them helps too.

February 1, 2012

The NBA Annotation: Thinking, Fast and Slow

by Kevin Pelton

Daniel Kahneman's influential new book, Thinking, Fast and Slow explores how humans reason. Here's a look at how lessons from the book can be applied to the NBA.

January 31, 2012

Premium Article Rookie Report: The Rest of the Lottery

by Kevin Pelton

After considering the top 10 rookies by WARP, today we turn our attention to the lottery picks who have yet to crack that list.

January 30, 2012

Premium Article Top 10 Rookies: Ranking by WARP

by Kevin Pelton

Taking a look at this season's 10 best rookies by WARP thus far and how they've gotten there.

January 26, 2012

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Evaluating Extensions

by Kevin Pelton

The deadline for NBA teams to extend the rookie contracts of fourth-year players passed with a total of five extensions, including one controversial one in Minnesota.

January 25, 2012

Smoothing the Schedule: Adjusting Away Ups and Downs

by Kevin Pelton

The Portland Trail Blazers started the season 7-2 before dropping five of their next seven games, making them appear streaky in the early going. Adjusting for stronger home-court advantage than usual, however, the Blazers have in reality been much more consistent.

January 24, 2012

Making Progress: The Development of DeMarcus Cousins

by Kevin Pelton

With the support of new head coach Keith Smart, DeMarcus Cousins is showing improvement in key areas during his second NBA season.

January 23, 2012

Premium Article Underperformers: Largest Projection Declines

by Kevin Pelton

After looking at the fast starters, this time we use our in-season projections to identify the 10 players who have struggled the most early in the season relative to expectations. Most likely, this group will rebound going forward.

January 20, 2012

Premium Article Overperformers: Most Improved Projections

by Kevin Pelton

Our in-season projections incorporate both performance to date and SCHOENE's preseason expectations. Which players have most outproduced their projected numbers thus far?

January 19, 2012

Premium Article The Lakers' Problem: It's Not Kobe

by Kevin Pelton

A closer look at the Lakers' scoring efficiency shows that Kobe Bryant's heavy role in the team's offense is far less reason for concern than how badly the team's role players have struggled, especially from three-point range.

January 18, 2012

Are Injuries Up?: Checking the Numbers

by Kevin Pelton

Conventional wisdom has it that this year's compressed schedule has led to more injuries in the first month of the NBA season. Taking a look at the numbers shows some truth to that belief.

January 17, 2012

Premium Article Best Benches: Rating by WARP

by Kevin Pelton

Using WARP, adjusted to give extra weight to depth, a look at the NBA's best benches of the last three decades and how this year's reserve corps measures up.

January 12, 2012

Forgotten Man: Turkoglu Leads Magic

by Kevin Pelton

The Blazers once viewed Hedo Turkoglu as their missing piece. Long after that dream was written off, he showed why he remains a valuable player in leading Orlando to an impressive road win.

January 10, 2012

Premium Article Fast Starters: The Philadelphia 76ers

by Kevin Pelton

The NBA's surprising leader in point differential is the Philadelphia 76ers, who have used continuity, better distribution of minutes and the terrific play of center Spencer Hawes to play dominant basketball in the early going.

January 9, 2012

Premium Article Lockout Losses: Blowouts Common So Far

by Kevin Pelton

Two weeks into the NBA season, we've seen a striking number of blowouts. Digging deeper into the numbers shows that lopsided games are indeed up from the start of past seasons--but the opposite trend held the last time the NBA was locked out.

January 5, 2012

Premium Article Familiar Ending: Kings Fire Westphal

by Kevin Pelton

Amidst a clash with one of his star players and embarrassing performances on the court, Paul Westphal's tenure in Sacramento ended in his firing Wednesday. A similar story unfolded during Westphal's last job in Seattle.

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