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Pro Basketball Prospectus 2009-10

Downloadable sample chapters

Book Foreword, written by Daryl Morey (General Manager, Houston Rockets)

Oklahoma City Thunder player comments

Houston Rockets team essay

For the last two seasons, Basketball Prospectus has been at the cutting edge of the NBA's statistical revolution, exploring how teams win and why as well as integrating plenty of old-fashioned tape and first-hand observation to analyze players and teams. Now, we're following in the footsteps of our predecessors at Baseball Prospectus and our college counterparts by providing that same level of insight in book form.

Pro Basketball Prospectus 2009-10 features:

  • Essays on all 30 teams
  • Five-year team trend tables
  • Info-packed tables on every player who saw NBA action in 2008-09 or who can be expected to be seen in the upcoming season, including their advanced stats for the last three seasons, their skill ratings and their contract status
  • Commentary on every player
  • Team and player contract information and salary-cap analysis
  • The results of Kevin Pelton's dynamic SCHOENE projection system, both for players and teams
  • Exclusive quotes from key basketball-operations personnel
  • Insight from blog authors on their teams
  • A special section for fantasy leaguers, including an essay from veteran fantasy NBA writer Brian Doolittle as well as our unique player-rating system which utilizes SCHOENE's projections
  • An essay explaining the microfracture procedure from Will Carroll, as well as essays on the NBA's economic future and how reinterpreting the rules on hand-checking has affected the modern NBA game
  • The preseason version of the Prospectus Hoops List

"This is partly a reference book, but every NBA fan should sit down with this book before the season and read it cover to cover, like a novel. It's a story of my team, your team, everybody's team, and, no matter how much basketball you watch, will make you look at the game in a way you never have before."
- Will Leitch, contributing editor, New York Magazine; founder, Deadspin; author of God Save the Fan

Basketball Prospectus is using a lot of the best statistical knowledge on basketball to paint pictures of how NBA teams are evolving - who they were in 2008-09 and who they are becoming in the future. They build it on useful facts, and just having these cataloged so well makes the book a handy resource. It is from this base that they proceed to tell stories using the more advanced statistical tools and using them, as Larry Brown would say, the right way.
- Dean Oliver, director of quantitative analysis, Denver Nuggets; author of Basketball on Paper

"One of the beautiful parts of NBA basketball is that there's so much more going on than meets the eye. Well, here's all the stuff you can't see--the in-depth statistics, the breakdown of individual players, the reasons why the best teams win in the fourth quarter. Want to know who is the next star, who belongs on the bench, which teams are ready to step up and fall off? This is the place. People say baseball is a sport of statistics, but the Prospectus shows once again that it isn't the sport, it's the analysis that counts."
- Joe Posnanski, senior writer, Sports Illustrated; author of The Soul of Baseball and The Machine

Pro Basketball Prospectus 2009-10 now available!

Digital download $9.95 - Buy now!

Printed version $19.95 - Buy now!

Latest News

Oct 19 - We have updated the order link for the physical book to point to the sales page on Amazon.com. Amazon should provide a more well-rounded purchasing experience for our readers, but if you would prefer to still order through the store at CreateSpace.com, then you are welcome to do so.
Jeff Pease

Oct 17 - An important note to readers purchasing PBP 2009-10 via CreateSpace. While we cannot guarantee the speed with which you will receive the book, the shipping times listed on the CreateSpace Web site are generally longer than the actual shipping time, so do not be scared off by the long delay. For example, CreateSpace delivered my copy of the 2009 Football Outsiders Almanac within eight days using economy shipping.
Kevin Pelton

Oct 14 - We are pleased to announce that the printed version of PBP 09-10 is now available for purchase from Createspace.com for only $19.95. Please click here to proceed to the purchase page.
Jeff Pease

Oct 13 - The first review of PBP 2009-10 is in. Writing on FreeDarko, Bethlehem Shoals calls the book "insistently readable" and "consistently eye-opening."
Kevin Pelton

Oct 9 - Last year, we produced a spreadsheet with SCHOENE's projections for fantasy purposes. This year, we're looking at selling a more comprehensive version, as our counterparts at Football Outsiders do. For those of you who need projections imminently but are using a different format than our FPAR rankings in the book assume, you can copy and paste them into Excel. Make sure to paste special, then use Data --> Text to Columns (use delimited and select "space") to get the stats into sortable columns.
Kevin Pelton

Oct 9 - We have implemented a fix for the previously mentioned download issue. Downloads have been confirmed as working in IE 8, IE 7, Firefox and Safari (on both OSX and PC platforms, as applicable). Downloads are confirmed NOT working in IE 6, and this is not likely to change in the short term. Please turn off any download managers before downloading - they can interfere with the authentication mechanism used by the download page. As before, if you run into problems, please send an e-mail to hoops.beta[at]baseballprospectus.com.
Jeff Pease

Oct 8 - We have received word that some users are having trouble downloading the digital version. We are working on fixing this issue. If this occurs please email hoops.beta[at]baseballprospectus.com. Please include your browser and OS. We will verify your purchase and e-mail you a copy of the PDF file. We will keep you updated on this issue.
Jeff Pease

Oct 8 - Here is a link to Kevin Pelton's PBP 2009-10 launch announcement.
Jeff Pease

Oct 5 - We are very excited to announce the publication of our new book, Pro Basketball Prospectus 2009-10, which will be available soon for purchase as a physical book or via digital download. Please watch this space for more information.
Jeff Pease

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