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February 9, 2010
The List
Atlantic 6

by John Perrotto


The projected Field of 65 undergoes quite a change this week with eight new teams gaining entry. Three of the newcomers are Charlotte, Dayton and Richmond, which gives the Atlantic 10 a whopping six teams as they join Rhode Island, Temple and Xavier.

However, Kansas remains atop The List after beating Colorado and Nebraska last week then posting a 12-point road victory over No. 13 Texas on Monday night in what was once thought to be the potential Game of the Year before the Longhorns faltered. Following the Jayhawks are Syracuse, Duke, Villanova and West Virginia.

The three newcomers to The List this week are Gonzaga, Wake Forest and Maryland. All had been ranked earlier in the season.

Keep in mind that The List is not designed to mimic the mainstream polls. What we are attempting to do is rank the teams based on their chances of ultimately winning the national championship.

As always, we lean on the objective data, taking into account Ken Pomeroy’s Pomeroy Ratings at kenpom.com, the Jeff Sagarin ratings for USA Today at usatoday.com, RealTimeRPI at realtimerpi.com, Team Rankings at teamrankings.com and Kyle Whelliston’s State of Basketball rankings at basketballstate.com.

Record: 23-1
Last week’s ranking: 1
Last week: Defeated Colorado 72-66 and Nebraska 75-64
This week: Defeated No. 13 Texas 80-68 on Monday, Iowa State on Saturday
Information: Guard Brady Morningstar had handed out at least three assists in 10 of 15 games since missing the first nine while suspended from the team.

Record: 23-1
Last week’s ranking: 2
Last week: Defeated Providence 85-68 and Cincinnati 71-54
This week: Connecticut on Wednesday, Louisville on Sunday
Information: Kris Joseph is 3-of-4 from three-point range in the last three games after shooting 3-of-23 in the first 21 games of the season.

Record: 19-4
Last week’s ranking: 3
Last week: Defeated No. 23 Georgia Tech 86-67 and Boston College 66-63
This week: at North Carolina on Wednesday, No. 24 Maryland on Saturday
Information: Guard Jon Scheyer has 11 20-point games, including six in nine ACC games.

Record: 21-2
Last week’s ranking: 5
Last week: Defeated Seton Hall 81-71, lost to No. 9 Georgetown 103-90
This week: Defeated No. 5 West Virginia 82-75 on Monday, Providence on Saturday
Information: Scottie Reynolds scored 24 points against Georgetown in his final college game in his hometown of Washington.

5.West Virginia
Record: 19-4
Last week’s ranking: 4
Last week: Defeated No. 25 Pittsburgh 70-51 and St. John's 79-60
This week: Lost to No. 4 Villanova 82-75 on Monday, at Pittsburgh on Friday
Information: Forward Deniz Kilicili made his collegiate debut against Pittsburgh after serving a 20-game suspension from the NCAA for playing with a professional player in Turkey and made all four of his shots from the field.

Record: 22-1
Last week’s ranking: 6
Last week: Defeated Mississippi 85-75 and LSU 81-55
This week: Alabama tonight, No. 14 Tennessee on Saturday
Information: Sophomore guard Darnell Dodson has started three consecutive games.

7.Kansas State
Record: 19-4
Last week’s ranking: 11
Last week: Defeated Nebraska 76-57 and Iowa State 79-75
This week: Colorado on Saturday
Information: Guard Denis Clemente has scored at least 20 points 14 times in his career.

Record: 19-3
Last week’s ranking: 10
Last week: Defeated Indiana 78-75
This week: at No. 12 Michigan State tonight, Iowa on Saturday
Information: Junior center JaJuan Johnson is four points from 1,000 in his career.

Record: 18-5
Last week’s ranking: 13
Last week: Defeated No. 12 Michigan State 67-49 and Michigan 62-44
This week: Illinois tonight, Indiana on Saturday
Information: Junior forward Keaton Nankivil has averaged 12.7 points, 6.0 rebounds and 32.4 minutes in the seven games since junior forward Jon Leuer suffered a broken wrist.

10.Brigham Young
Record: 22-3
Last week’s ranking: 7
Last week: Defeated TCU 76-56, lost to UNLV 88-74
This week: Air Force on Saturday
Information: Junior guard Jimmer Fredette has had 16 games with at least 20 points this season.

Record: 17-5
Last week’s ranking: 9
Last week: Lost to South Florida 72-64, defeated No. 5Villanova 103-90
This week: at Providence tonight, at Rutgers on Sunday
Information: Jason Clark scored a career-high 24 points, making 6 of 7 three-point attempts, against Villanova.

12.Michigan State
Record: 19-5
Last week’s ranking: 12
Last week: Lost to No. 13 Wisconsin 67-49 and Illinois 78-73
This week: No. 8 Purdue tonight, at Penn State on Saturday
Information: Freshman centers Garrick Sherman and Derrick Nix played a combined 19 minutes against Illinois, the most action they had seen since playing 20 minutes in a victory over Iowa on Jan. 9.

Record: 19-5
Last week’s ranking: 8
Last week: Defeated Oklahoma State 72-60, lost to Oklahoma 80-71
This week: Lost to No. 1 Kansas 80-68 on Monday, Nebraska on Saturday
Information:Freshman forward Jordan Hamilton scored a career-high 27 points against Oklahoma State.

Record: 18-4
Last week’s ranking: 17
Last week: Defeated LSU 59-54 and South Carolina 79-53
This week: at No. 23 Vanderbilt tonight, at No. 6 Kentucky on Saturday
Information: Freshman forward Kenny Hall had a career-high 11 rebounds against South Carolina.

15.New Mexico
Record: 21-3
Last week’s ranking: 20
Last week: Defeated San Diego State 88-86
This week: at UNLV on Wednesday, at Utah on Saturday
Information: Junior forward Darington Hobson has 48 points, 20 rebounds and 12 assists in the last two games.

Record: 17-5
Last week’s ranking: 16
Last week: Defeated Iowa State 84-63, lost to Texas A&M 78-71
This week: at Nebraska on Wednesday, No. 22 Missouri on Saturday
Information: Forward Ekpe Udoh has 11 double-doubles this season.

17.Northern Iowa
Record: 21-2
Last week’s ranking: 18
Last week: Defeated Wichita State 59-56 and Southern Illinois 55-52
This week: at Drake on Wednesday, at Bradley on Saturday
Information: Reserve forward Lucas O'Rear has 17 rebounds, 10 offensive, in the last two games.

Record: 19-4
Last week’s ranking: NR
Last week: Defeated Portland 76-49 and Memphis 66-58
This week: Saint Mary's on Thursday, San Diego on Saturday
Information: Freshman Elias Harris' 16 points against Portland were his lowest scoring output in his first seven West Coast Conference games.

19.Ohio State
Record: 18-6
Last week’s ranking: 21
Last week: Defeated Penn State 75-62 and Iowa 68-58
This week: at Indiana on Wednesday, at Illinois on Sunday
Information: Evan Turner tied a career high with 32 points against Iowa, including 18 in a 17-minute span.

Record: 21-4
Last week’s ranking: 19
Last week: Defeated Detroit 63-58 and Wright State 74-62
This week: Defeated Loyola (Ill.) 62-47 on Monday, at Youngstown State on Thursday, at Cleveland State on Saturday.
Information: Butler clinched a share of its fourth consecutive Horizon League title with the victory over Loyola.

21.Wake Forest
Record: 16-5
Last week’s ranking: NR
Last week: Defeated Miami (Fla.) 62-53 and Virginia 64-61
This week: Boston College tonight, Georgia Tech on Saturday
Information: Senior guard Ishmael Smith is 13 points from 1,000 for his career.

Record: 17-6
Last week’s ranking: 22
Last week: Lost to Texas A&M 77-74, defeated Colorado 84-66
This week: Iowa State on Wednesday at No. 16 Baylor on Saturday
Information:Guard Marcus Denmon scored a career-high 22 points against Colorado.

Record: 17-5
Last week’s ranking: 14
Last week: Defeated Mississippi State 75-72, lost to Georgia 72-58
This week: No. 14 Tennessee tonight, LSU on Saturday
Information: Guard Jermaine Beal is shooting 55 (33 of 60) percent in the last five games, including 49 percent (17 of 35) from three-point range.

Record: 16-6
Last week’s ranking: NR
Last week: Defeated Florida State 71-67 and North Carolina 92-71
This week: Virginia on Wednesday, at No. 3 Duke on Saturday
Information: Freshman forward Jordan Williams is averaging 8.0 rebounds in the last seven games.

Record: 19-5
Last week’s ranking: 15
Last week: Defeated Duquesne 76-60, lost to Richmond 71-54
This week: Rhode Island on Saturday
Information: Forward Lavoy Allen is averaging 11.1 points and 10.6 rebounds and has a chance to become the first Temple player to average a double-double since Ollie Johnson in 1970-71.

Dropped out: No. 23 Georgia Tech, No. 24 Xavier, No. 25 Pittsburgh

Others to watch: California (15-8), Georgia Tech (17-6), Marquette (15-8), Pittsburgh (18-6), Rhode Island (19-3)

Most overrated: Ohio State certainly looks like it might be able to win the Big Ten, particularly with Evan Turner back in high gear, but their No. 13 ranking in The Associated Press media poll seems a little high.

Most underrated: Maryland did not receive a single vote in The AP poll, which is nothing short of amazing considering the Terrapins were No. 8 in the Pomeroy Ratings entering the week.

The Field of 65

ACC (7): Clemson, Duke, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Maryland, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest

America East (1): Vermont

Atlantic 10 (6): Charlotte, Dayton, Rhode Island, Richmond, Temple, Xavier

Atlantic Sun (1): Belmont

Big 12 (6): Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, Missouri, Texas, Texas A&M

Big East (7): Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Villanova, West Virginia

Big Sky (1): Montana

Big South (1): Coastal Carolina

Big Ten (4): Michigan State, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin

Big West (1): Pacific

Colonial (2): Old Dominion, Virginia Commonwealth

Conference USA (2): UAB, UTEP

Horizon (1): Butler

Ivy (1): Cornell

Metro Atlantic (1): Siena

Mid-American (1): Kent State

Mid-Eastern (1): Morgan State

Missouri Valley (1): Northern Iowa

Mountain West (3): Brigham Young, New Mexico, UNLV

Northeast (1): Quinnipiac

Ohio Valley (1): Murray State

Pac-10 (1): California

Patriot (1): Lehigh

SEC (5): Florida, Kentucky, Mississippi, Tennessee, Vanderbilt

Southern (1): Wofford

Southland (1): Sam Houston State

Summit (1): Oakland

Sun Belt (1): Western Kentucky

SWAC (1): Texas Southern

WAC (1): Utah State

West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary's

New to the dance: Belmont, Charlotte, Dayton, Montana, Richmond, Texas Southern, Virginia Commonwealth, Wofford

Tossed off the floor: Arizona State, Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Connecticut, Jacksonville, Mississippi State, Northern Colorado, Oklahoma State, Western Carolina

The bubble team: Oklahoma State

Hello NIT: Arizona, Arizona State, Arkansas State, Charleston, Cincinnati, Connecticut, Illinois, Jackson State, Louisiana Tech, Memphis, Minnesota, Mississippi State, Nevada, New Mexico State, North Carolina, Northeastern, Northwestern, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Robert Morris, San Diego State, Seton Hall, South Carolina, South Florida, Stony Brook, Texas Tech, Tulsa, Washington, Weber State, Wichita State, William & Mary

John Perrotto is an author of Basketball Prospectus. You can contact John by clicking here or click here to see John's other articles.

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<< Previous Article
Clipper Blueprint (02/08)
<< Previous Column
The List (02/02)
Next Column >>
The List (02/16)
Next Article >>
Rocking and Rolling (02/09)

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