|
It was another TNT Thursday that didn't happen, but in the Sim Season universe, it was a great doubleheader. The two games featured the league's hottest team (Magic) and the squad that may be the best team so far (Lakers). It would have been nice to see. I wonder what Kenny Smith is up to?
Since we only have a couple of boxes and game recaps, I posted an expanded leaderboard today. It includes all the standard per-game leaders, but also a couple of bonuses. First, there is the Defensive Stops category that I love so much. Andrew Bogut is our early leader in the category. There is also a category called "Production" which, I believe, is the old efficiency formula that you can still find on NBA.com. It's simply adding up the good stuff (points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks) and subtracting the bad stuff (missed shots, turnovers). Every category is worth a point.
It's not the worst shorthand way to evaluate a player, especially if you're just skimming through box scores because the addition is so easy. It works out that a good score correlates roughly with a good scoring average, so that gives you a little context. Incidentally, this method of rating players was pioneered by an old colleague of mine, Martin Manley, who is still putting the EFF formula to good use on the blog he does for The Kansas City Star.
Through last night, we've played the 119 games the NBA hasn't as part of Sim Season, our Strat-O-Matic simulation of the locked out 2011-12 season. We'll be doing this every day, so check back tomorrow for the results of tonight's action. You can follow me on Twitter for periodic updates on the action. Watch for the #simseason hashtag.
REMINDER: Strat-O-Matic veterans already know this, but the newest version of SOM's Computer Basketball Game (Version 9.0) was recently released. As it happens, our favorite gaming company is offering a discount for all you lockout-weary fans who want to run your own simulations. Or maybe you just want to match wits with a fellow hoops fan, no matter where in the world he/she may reside. All you have to do is go to this page to place an order. When you check out, just enter the discount code LOCKOUT to get 15% knocked off the listed price.
NOTE: The offer has been extended and now expires at 11:59 p.m. EST on Nov. 20. Enjoy!
MAGIC 92, CELTICS 87: The schedule didn't get any easier for the Celtics. One night after losing in overtime in Miami, Boston invaded the Amway Center to take on the Magic, winners of six in a row. The game was just the kind of bruising, low-scoring affair that you'd expect. Dwight Howard (12) and Ryan Anderson (11) both hit double digits in the first half, propelling Orlando to a nine-point lead at the break. The Magic maintained an advantage in that range through the third, but an 8-2 Boston surge drew the Celtics within two early in the fourth. The Celtics pulled within a single point twice, the second time on Jeff Green's bucket in the paint with 6:10 to play. But Orlando reeled off nine straight, a run began by a J.J. Redick three, and held off the Celtics down the stretch to push its win streak to seven. Howard led Orlando with 27 points and 14 rebounds, but his 9-of-20 showing from the foul line helped keep the Celtics in the game. Green paced Boston with 20 points off the bench. Orlando grabbed more than a third of its own misses and outscored the Celtics 16-2 on second-chance points.
STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
BOSTON 16 20 27 24 87
ORLANDO 20 25 24 23 92
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
R.ALLEN 33 4 8 50 1 2 50 1 1 100 -1 1 3 4 6 2 1 1 0 10
P.PIERCE 29 5 14 36 2 4 50 7 7 100 2 0 2 2 3 1 1 1 0 19
R.RONDO 35 5 12 42 0 0 1 2 50 -3 0 3 3 10 2 0 1 0 11
K.GARNETT 24 2 4 50 0 0 1 2 50 0 0 6 6 2 1 1 1 0 5
J.O'NEAL 12 2 3 67 0 0 0 0 -2 1 0 1 1 4 0 1 1 4
J.GREEN 32 9 16 56 2 7 29 0 0 -5 1 3 4 0 3 0 3 2 20
G.DAVIS 24 4 7 57 0 0 2 2 100 0 0 5 5 2 6 1 1 1 10
C.ARROYO 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
V.WAFER 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
D.WEST 20 4 7 57 0 1 0 0 0 -4 0 4 4 1 1 2 0 1 8
T.MURPHY 10 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 -6 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
J.JOHNSON 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 0 4 4 0 1 0 3 0 0
BOSTON 48 35 73 48 5 15 33 12 14 86 3 31 34 26 23 6 12 5 87
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
D.HOWARD 39 9 13 69 0 0 9 20 45 4 7 7 14 2 1 2 3 1 27
J.RICHARDSON 32 5 12 42 2 3 67 0 0 5 2 7 9 1 1 0 0 0 12
H.TURKOGLU 28 5 14 36 3 6 50 0 0 2 1 2 3 2 4 1 1 0 13
J.NELSON 26 1 4 25 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 2 2 6 2 0 1 0 2
B.BASS 23 2 7 29 0 0 2 2 100 1 3 6 9 1 2 0 2 0 6
G.ARENAS 23 3 12 25 0 4 0 6 6 100 1 0 4 4 2 4 0 4 1 12
J.REDICK 23 2 4 50 1 3 33 0 0 1 0 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 5
R.ANDERSON 23 3 9 33 1 3 33 4 4 100 4 4 0 4 0 1 1 1 3 11
Q.RICHARDSON 13 1 1 100 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 3 0 2 0 0 0 2
C.DUHON 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
J.HARPER 9 1 5 20 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2
ORLANDO 48 32 81 40 7 20 35 21 32 66 18 33 51 16 17 5 12 5 92
BOSTON ORLANDO
Fast Break Pts 6 Fast Break Pts 8
Second Chance Pts 2 Second Chance Pts 16
Points in the Paint 30 Points In the Paint 26
Biggest Lead 3 Biggest Lead 11
BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
BOS (5-3)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR ORL (7-2)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR
green,jeff...........67% 30% 0.96 - 5 19.3 howard,dwight........81% 29% 1.24 + 4 29.3
pierce,paul..........60% 32% 1.06 + 2 18.9 richardson,jason.....67% 15% 1.44 + 5 15.9
rondo,rajon..........73% 20% 1.17 - 3 18.3 turkoglu,hedo........58% 24% 1.07 + 2 13.7
allen,ray............69% 14% 1.51 - 1 14.5 anderson,ryan........48% 23% 1.12 + 4 11.9
west,delonte.........42% 17% 1.28 - 4 9.5 arenas,gilbert.......48% 39% 0.63 + 1 11.6
davis,glen...........50% 19% 1.09 0 9.5 bass,brandon.........48% 18% 0.91 + 1 8.3
garnett,kevin........50% 12% 1.24 0 7.5 redick,j.j...........48% 5% 2.69 + 1 6.4
o'neal,jermaine......25% 17% 0.84 - 2 3.2 nelson,jameer........54% 6% 1.87 + 3 6.2
johnson,jajuan.......31% 9% 0.28 - 4 0.8 harper,justin........19% 25% 0.60 + 1 3.1
arroyo,carlos........ 8% 13% 0.68 - 2 0.7 richardson,quentin...27% 0% 75.05 + 2 1.7
wafer,von............ 4% 27% 0.00 0 0.0 duhon,chris.......... 2% 54% 0.00 + 1 0.0
johnson,jajuan.......(DNP) allen,malik..........(DNP)
PACE: 85.1 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA% PACE: 85.1 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA%
CELTICS.......... 102.3 .514 .083 .141 .072 MAGIC............ 108.1 .438 .367 .141 .166
---
LAKERS 113, KNICKS 93: The Knicks were trying to recover from a high-profile shellacking in Denver, but it wasn't going to be easy against a Lakers team that went into the contest second to Miami in our power rankings. It was also a nice contrast of styles, Mike D'Antoni's uptempo attack against Mike Brown's yawn-inducing approach. Kobe Bryant made sure that none of the stars looking on from courtside got too bored by scoring 19 points in the first quarter, leading L.A. to a 12-point lead. The Lakers scored the last 12 points of the period and extended its run to 14 on a pair of Matt Barnes free throws to start the second. The Lakers led by 13 at the break, then blew the game open with an 11-point run that extended into the fourth quarter. Pau Gasol had 32 points, 12 rebounds, seven assists and four blocks to lead the Lakers. Bryant added 29. Amar'e Stoudemire (30 points) and Carmelo Anthony (28) were the only two Knicks to reach double figures.
STRAT-O-MAIC BOX SCORE
NEW YORK 23 22 15 33 93
LOS ANGELES L 35 23 23 32 113
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
A.STOUDEMIRE 47 14 22 64 0 0 2 6 33 -15 6 7 13 7 4 3 4 2 30
C.ANTHONY 41 6 17 35 1 4 25 15 15 100 -16 0 3 3 2 3 2 4 1 28
L.FIELDS 29 3 6 50 0 2 0 1 2 50 -19 1 3 4 0 1 1 3 0 7
C.BILLUPS 26 2 6 33 2 5 40 3 4 75 -3 0 3 3 4 4 0 2 0 9
J.HARRELLSON 7 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -11 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0
T.DOUGLAS 21 2 5 40 0 2 0 0 0 -5 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 0 4
S.WILLIAMS 18 2 7 29 1 4 25 2 2 100 -9 2 5 7 0 1 0 1 0 7
R.TURIAF 17 1 1 100 0 0 0 0 4 0 2 2 4 1 0 1 0 2
J.JEFFRIES 14 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -13 1 0 1 1 3 4 0 0 0
I.SHUMPERT 20 3 8 38 0 2 0 0 0 -13 0 0 0 1 3 0 4 0 6
NEW YORK 48 33 75 44 4 19 21 23 29 79 11 24 35 20 25 11 21 3 93
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
P.GASOL 45 13 21 62 0 0 6 8 75 8 5 7 12 7 3 1 3 4 32
K.BRYANT 27 8 17 47 1 4 25 12 13 92 15 0 4 4 2 4 1 1 0 29
L.ODOM 21 3 4 75 0 0 0 0 13 3 5 8 2 2 1 2 0 6
R.ARTEST 31 0 6 0 0 3 0 1 2 50 24 0 1 1 2 3 4 2 0 1
D.FISHER 35 7 10 70 0 0 1 2 50 14 0 2 2 1 5 0 1 0 15
S.BLAKE 12 2 4 50 2 4 50 2 2 100 6 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 8
S.BROWN 21 2 4 50 0 2 0 2 2 100 5 0 0 0 3 2 1 1 1 6
A.BYNUM 27 4 5 80 0 0 1 2 50 7 1 8 9 2 3 1 3 1 9
M.BARNES 19 2 7 29 1 3 33 2 2 100 1 1 3 4 0 2 0 2 0 7
D.CARACTER 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
LOS ANGELES 48 41 78 53 4 16 25 27 33 82 10 31 41 21 24 11 15 6 113
NEW YORK LOS ANGELES L
Fast Break Pts 12 Fast Break Pts 6
Second Chance Pts 7 Second Chance Pts 10
Points in the Paint 28 Points In the Paint 40
Biggest Lead 0 Biggest Lead 25
BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
NYK (4-5)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR LAL (8-2)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR
stoudemire,amare.....98% 27% 1.21 -15 32.3 gasol,pau............94% 27% 1.30 + 8 35.9
anthony,carmelo......85% 30% 0.93 -16 29.1 bryant,kobe..........56% 40% 1.08 +15 27.5
billups,chauncey.....54% 16% 1.24 - 3 10.6 fisher,derek.........73% 14% 1.10 +14 12.3
williams,shawne......38% 21% 0.96 - 9 7.5 bynum,andrew.........56% 13% 1.35 + 7 10.2
fields,landry........60% 14% 0.76 -19 5.9 blake,steve..........25% 17% 2.20 + 6 10.0
turiaf,ronny.........35% 3% 3.70 + 4 4.5 odom,lamar...........44% 11% 1.60 +13 7.8
shumpert,iman........42% 27% 0.40 -13 3.9 brown,shannon........44% 11% 1.33 + 5 7.6
douglas,toney........44% 11% 0.77 - 5 3.9 barnes,matt..........40% 23% 0.73 + 1 6.0
jeffries,jared.......29% 1% 4.23 -13 1.5 artest,ron...........65% 11% 0.38 +24 2.9
harrellson,josh......15% 18% 0.00 -11 0.0 caracter,derrick..... 4% 24% 0.26 + 7 0.3
rautins,andy.........(DNP) ebanks,devin.........(DNP)
balkman,renaldo......(DNP) walton,luke..........(DNP)
PACE: 93.7 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA% PACE: 93.7 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA%
KNICKS........... 99.2 .467 .262 .224 .136 LAKERS........... 120.6 .551 .294 .160 .155
---
EASTERN CONFERENCE STANDINGS
TEAM W L PCT GB
2011-12 MIAMI MIA 6 1 .857 ----
2011-12 ORLANDO ORL 7 2 .778 ----
2011-12 CHICAGO CHI 5 3 .625 1.5
2011-12 BOSTON BOS 5 3 .625 1.5
2011-12 CHARLOTTE CHA 4 3 .571 2.0
2011-12 NEW YORK NYK 4 5 .444 3.0
2011-12 NEW JERSEY NJN 3 4 .429 3.0
2011-12 ATLANTA ATL 3 4 .429 3.0
-------------------------------------------------
2011-12 PHILADELPHIA PHI 3 5 .375 3.5
2011-12 INDIANA IND 3 6 .333 4.0
2011-12 DETROIT DET 2 5 .286 4.0
2011-12 CLEVELAND CLE 2 5 .286 4.0
2011-12 MILWAUKEE MIL 2 6 .250 4.5
2011-12 WASHINGTON WAS 1 6 .143 5.0
2011-12 TORONTO TOR 1 7 .125 5.5
WESTERN CONFERENCE STANDINGS
TEAM W L PCT GB
2011-12 PHOENIX PHX 8 1 .889 ----
2011-12 DENVER DEN 5 1 .833 1.5
2011-12 LOS ANGELES L LAL 8 2 .800 .5
2011-12 MINNESOTA MIN 5 2 .714 2.0
2011-12 SAN ANTONIO SAS 5 2 .714 2.0
2011-12 MEMPHIS MEM 5 3 .625 2.5
2011-12 DALLAS DAL 5 3 .625 2.5
2011-12 OKLAHOMA CITY OKC 5 4 .556 3.0
-------------------------------------------------
2011-12 HOUSTON HOU 4 4 .500 3.5
2011-12 LOS ANGELES C LAC 4 5 .444 4.0
2011-12 GOLDEN STATE GSW 4 5 .444 4.0
2011-12 NEW ORLEANS NOH 3 4 .429 4.0
2011-12 PORTLAND POR 3 5 .375 4.5
2011-12 UTAH UTA 2 6 .250 5.5
2011-12 SACRAMENTO SAC 2 7 .222 6.0
LEAGUE LEADERS
SCORING AVERAGE REBOUNDS⁄GAME OFF REB⁄GAME DEF REB⁄GAME
K.DURANT OKC 34.1 K.LOVE MIN 13.7 L.ALDRIDG POR 4.8 K.LOVE MIN 9.9
D.NOWITZK DAL 31.5 J.NOAH CHI 12.0 J.NOAH CHI 4.1 A.BOGUT MIL 9.8
D.ROSE CHI 29.6 A.BOGUT MIL 11.8 D.HOWARD ORL 3.9 A.HORFORD ATL 8.3
D.GALLINA DEN 28.3 A.HORFORD ATL 10.9 A.JEFFERS UTA 3.9 K.GARNETT BOS 8.1
R.GAY MEM 27.8 B.GRIFFIN LAC 10.8 K.LOVE MIN 3.9 C.BOOZER CHI 7.9
M.ELLIS GSW 26.7 D.HOWARD ORL 10.8 B.GRIFFIN LAC 3.4 J.NOAH CHI 7.9
L.ALDRIDG POR 26.0 K.HUMPHRI NJN 10.7 A.VAREJAO CLE 3.4 K.HUMPHRI NJN 7.9
L.JAMES MIA 25.6 K.GARNETT BOS 10.2 B.LOPEZ NJN 3.4 C.BOSH MIA 7.6
K.BRYANT LAL 25.5 A.JEFFERS UTA 10.1 D.COUSINS SAC 3.2 T.CHANDLE DAL 7.5
D.WEST NOH 25.1 D.LEE GSW 10.0 J.HICKSON SAC 3.2 B.GRIFFIN LAC 7.3
FIELD GOAL PCT FREE THROW PCT THREE POINT PCT ASSIST⁄GAME
N.HILARIO DEN .750 D.WRIGHT GSW1.000 R.JACKSON OKC .750 S.NASH PHX 12.7
M.BROOKS NJN .627 D.AUGUSTI CHA .969 T.LAWSON DEN .667 R.RONDO BOS 11.2
M.GORTAT PHX .621 C.BOSH MIA .947 B.MILLER MIN .625 M.CONLEY MEM 9.5
D.HOWARD ORL .617 S.JACKSON MIL .947 K.DURANT OKC .612 D.WILLIAM NJN 9.3
T.CHANDLE DAL .604 S.NASH PHX .947 K.BOGANS CHI .600 J.KIDD DAL 9.1
C.JENKINS GSW .597 M.MORRIS HOU .944 G.HILL IND .579 C.PAUL NOH 8.8
L.ODOM LAL .593 A.AFFLALO DEN .938 M.DUNLEAV IND .577 J.CALDERO TOR 8.5
J.BAREA DAL .592 J.FREDETT SAC .933 R.STUCKEY DET .571 R.WESTBRO OKC 7.9
K.DURANT OKC .590 N.BATUM POR .929 C.JENKINS GSW .560 A.IGUODAL PHI 7.9
S.MARION DAL .583 W.MATTHEW POR .929 R.JEFFERS SAS .560 R.FELTON POR 7.4
STEALS⁄GAME TURNOVERS⁄GAME BLOCKS⁄GAME ASSIST⁄TO RATIO
R.GAY MEM 2.4 R.RONDO BOS 4.5 T.DUNCAN SAS 3.0 J.ANTHONY MIA 9.00
L.JAMES MIA 2.1 J.WALL WAS 4.4 A.STOUDEM NYK 2.8 R.WILLIAM GSW 9.00
T.ALLEN MEM 2.1 J.JOHNSON ATL 3.9 J.McGEE WAS 2.7 K.HINRICH ATL 8.20
D.HOWARD ORL 2.1 D.ROSE CHI 3.8 S.IBAKA OKC 2.2 J.REDICK ORL 7.33
R.WESTBRO OKC 2.0 J.SMITH ATL 3.6 B.LOPEZ NJN 2.1 C.WATSON CHI 7.00
A.IGUODAL PHI 1.9 D.COUSINS SAC 3.6 A.BOGUT MIL 2.1 K.LOWRY HOU 6.62
R.RONDO BOS 1.9 D.WADE MIA 3.3 M.GORTAT PHX 2.1 C.PAUL NOH 5.89
L.RIDNOUR MIN 1.7 M.ELLIS GSW 3.1 D.JORDAN LAC 2.0 J.NELSON ORL 5.80
J.HOLIDAY PHI 1.6 D.HOWARD ORL 2.9 J.NOAH CHI 1.9 A.MORROW NJN 5.50
J.NOAH CHI 1.5 S.NASH PHX 2.9 R.HIBBERT IND 1.8 J.JACK NOH 5.50
MINUTES PLAYED PRODUCTION EFFECTIVE FG% DEFENSIVE STOPS
P.GASOL LAL 373 K.DURANT OKC 33.0 N.HILARIO DEN .750 A.BOGUT MIL 20
M.ELLIS GSW 351 K.LOVE MIN 30.4 C.JENKINS GSW .710 C.HAYES HOU 19
D.WRIGHT GSW 348 L.JAMES MIA 28.4 J.HARDEN OKC .690 C.ANTHONY NYK 18
T.EVANS SAC 339 D.ROSE CHI 28.2 K.DURANT OKC .672 C.DELFINO MIL 15
A.STOUDEM NYK 338 P.GASOL LAL 26.7 R.JEFFERS SAS .667 K.LOWRY HOU 15
K.DURANT OKC 334 D.NOWITZK DAL 26.5 T.LAWSON DEN .649 N.BATUM POR 15
E.GORDON LAC 331 L.ALDRIDG POR 26.5 J.KIDD DAL .647 C.BOOZER CHI 14
D.GRANGER IND 329 S.NASH PHX 25.3 J.BAREA DAL .641 J.NOAH CHI 14
R.GAY MEM 329 D.HOWARD ORL 24.9 M.BROOKS NJN .637 K.BRYANT LAL 14
K.BRYANT LAL 324 R.GAY MEM 24.9 K.IRVING CLE .636 P.GASOL LAL 14
GLOSSARY
+/- (Plus-Minus) Raw data is from official box scores from NBA.com.
GR (Game Rating) Reflects a player's Points Created total, or the portion of his team's offense for which he gets credit based on his box score line. This number is then adjusted for estimated defensive performance based on box score counterpart productivity. GR is pace-adjusted so you can compare players from game to game.
PCP (Points Created Per Possession Used) An estimate of each player's points created per possession used, a measure of offensive efficiency. The stat accounts for a player's entire box score line, not just the scoring categories.
PLY% (Play percentage) An estimate of the percentage of a team's possessions on which the player was on the court.
USG An estimate of how many of those plays a player used by shooting, going to the line or committing a turnover, with a portion the team's offensive rebound total subtracted.
TEAM STATS
PACE: Estimated possessions in the game.
ORTG: A team's points per 100 possessions.
eFG%: Team's shooting percentage with an extra half-point added for each made three-point field goal.
oRB%: Percentage of a team's misses that they retrieved off the offensive glass.
TO%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a turnover.
FTA%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a trip to the foul line.
Follow Bradford on Twitter.
Bradford Doolittle is an author of Basketball Prospectus.
You can contact Bradford by clicking here or click here to see Bradford's other articles.
|
What if They Played No... (11/18)
0 comments have been left for this article. 
