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Randomness. It's a part of sports. It's a part of life. And in any simulation that purports to mirror the real thing it emulates, randomness is a part of that, too.
Randomness bit the Golden State Warriors on Monday when star point guard Stephen Curry went down in the first quarter of a loss to San Antonio. Curry will miss five games, during which we'll see more of rookies Charles Jenkins and Klay Thompson.
Variation is inherent to sports statistics, both real and simulated. I have received emails from well-meaning readers who were concerned that Player X has done Statistic Y in the early going. They wonder if something might be amiss with our simulation machinery, which is of course the time-tested miracle of Strat-O-Matic. No, there is nothing amiss.
I'll reiterate what I wrote when this project was announced: Strat-O-Matic is uncanny in both the accuracy of its results and in its ability to capture the nuances of the real-life action. One of those nuances is statistical variation. It's entirely possible for the end-of-the-bench scrub to be thrust into a more prominent role because of an injury and respond with a 17-point, 8-of-10 shooting performance. It's also possible for the league's biggest star to lay an egg now and again. It happens in real life. It happens in Strat.
The proof in the accuracy pudding can be found in aggregate results. A season-long simulation of last year's NBA--using Strat-O-Matic--is going to look very much like the real thing. A whole bunch of simulations tallied together are going to yield even more true-to-life results. But we're just running the simulation once. Why? Because we want to capture the random element that is so important in real-life professional sports.
If it's merely a matter of churning out the same stat lines again and again, there would be no point. So I beseech you: Embrace the randomness.
There was plenty of randomness last night, through which we've played the 50 games the NBA hasn't as part of Sim Season, our Strat-O-Matic simulation of the locked out 2011-12 season. We'll be doing this every day, so check back tomorrow for the results of tonight's action. You can follow me on Twitter for periodic updates. Watch for the #simseason hashtag.
LOOK >>> Strat-O-Matic veterans already know this, but the newest version of SOM's Computer Basketball Game (Version 9.0) was recently released. As it happens, our favorite gaming company is offering a discount for all you lockout-weary fans who want to run your own simulations. Or maybe you just want to match wits with a fellow hoops fan, no matter where in the world he/she may reside. All you have to do is go to this page to place an order. When you check out, just enter the discount code LOCKOUT to get 15% knocked off the listed price.
NOTE: The offer has been extended and now expires at 11:59 p.m. EST on Nov. 20. Enjoy!
NUGGETS 112, CAVALIERS 82: The Nuggets had six players score in double figures, held a 24-7 edge at the line and won their third game in as many outings. Kyrie Irving put up 16 points, five boards and seven assists for Cleveland. Last June's top pick is now averaging 13.8 points and 6.3 assists over his first four pro games.
STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
CLEVELAND 17 27 21 17 82
DENVER 23 31 31 27 112
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
A.JAMISON 23 6 22 27 0 3 0 3 6 50 -20 1 4 5 0 3 0 1 0 15
B.DAVIS 26 5 15 33 1 8 12 0 0 -18 1 1 2 8 3 0 2 0 11
A.VAREJAO 29 0 3 0 0 0 1 2 50 -22 1 9 10 1 4 0 0 2 1
O.CASSPI 18 3 8 38 1 5 20 0 2 0 -18 0 2 2 0 2 0 0 0 7
K.IRVING 33 6 10 60 2 3 67 2 2 100 -26 3 2 5 7 2 1 4 0 16
R.SESSIONS 19 1 6 17 0 0 1 1 100 -16 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 3
D.GIBSON 18 4 8 50 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 1 0 0 0 8
R.HOLLINS 14 1 2 50 0 0 0 0 -13 3 0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2
A.GEE 6 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 0
C.EYENGA 24 4 8 50 1 4 25 0 0 -14 0 4 4 1 3 2 1 0 9
S.SAMUELS 6 2 2 100 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 4
T.THOMPSON 24 3 4 75 0 0 0 0 -8 1 4 5 0 2 1 2 3 6
CLEVELAND 48 35 89 39 5 26 19 7 13 54 11 31 42 22 23 4 12 7 82
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
A.AFFLALO 41 5 10 50 1 4 25 2 2 100 15 0 3 3 6 2 1 1 1 13
N.HILARIO 30 6 9 67 0 0 5 5 100 26 1 5 6 0 2 1 2 1 17
D.GALLINARI 34 6 15 40 1 3 33 4 5 80 24 0 7 7 0 1 0 1 0 17
T.LAWSON 29 5 10 50 2 4 50 2 4 50 24 1 4 5 4 3 0 0 0 14
K.FARIED 24 1 8 12 0 0 2 4 50 17 2 3 5 0 5 2 2 1 4
A.HARRINGTON 22 5 6 83 2 3 67 0 0 9 0 5 5 0 0 1 1 0 12
G.FORBES 4 1 2 50 0 0 3 4 75 8 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 1 5
C.ANDERSEN 14 2 3 67 0 0 2 4 50 2 1 2 3 1 1 0 0 1 6
K.KOUFOS 3 1 2 50 0 0 0 0 5 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2
A.MILLER 22 6 12 50 1 2 50 1 2 50 13 1 5 6 2 1 1 1 0 14
J.HAMILTON 17 2 6 33 1 3 33 3 4 75 7 3 2 5 4 1 1 0 0 8
DENVER 48 40 83 48 8 19 42 24 34 71 11 39 50 17 16 7 8 5 112
CLEVELAND DENVER
Fast Break Pts 18 Fast Break Pts 14
Second Chance Pts 10 Second Chance Pts 10
Points in the Paint 26 Points In the Paint 30
Biggest Lead 3 Biggest Lead 30
BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
CLE (1-3)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR DEN (3-0)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR
irving,kyrie.........69% 20% 1.48 -26 19.3 miller,andre.........46% 29% 1.12 +13 17.5
davis,baron..........54% 30% 0.91 -18 14.6 hilario,nene.........63% 19% 1.22 +26 16.8
jamison,antawn.......48% 53% 0.49 -20 12.9 gallinari,danilo.....71% 24% 0.91 +24 15.9
eyenga,christian.....50% 16% 1.17 -14 8.9 afflalo,arron........85% 12% 1.54 +15 15.6
gibson,daniel........38% 19% 1.18 0 7.8 lawson,ty............60% 18% 1.47 +24 15.3
casspi,omri..........38% 22% 0.76 -18 6.9 harrington,al........46% 13% 2.04 + 9 13.3
thompson,tristan.....50% 10% 1.31 - 8 6.3 hamilton,jordan......35% 20% 1.58 + 7 10.8
samuels,samardo......13% 22% 1.36 + 3 3.5 andersen,chris.......29% 14% 1.45 + 2 6.2
varejao,anderson.....60% 4% 1.33 -22 3.4 forbes,gary.......... 8% 45% 1.31 + 8 4.5
hollins,ryan.........29% 8% 1.27 -13 2.8 faried,kenneth.......50% 22% 0.37 +17 4.3
sessions,ramon.......40% 14% 0.35 -16 1.9 koufos,kosta......... 6% 31% 1.19 + 5 2.2
gee,alonzo...........13% 6% 1.86 + 2 1.3 mozgov,timofey.......(DNP)
PACE: 91.5 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA% PACE: 91.5 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA%
CAVALIERS........ 89.6 .421 .220 .131 .062 NUGGETS.......... 122.4 .530 .262 .087 .163
---
MAVERICKS 102, RAPTORS 100: The Mavericks evened their record at 2-2, but it required quite a comeback and quite a finish to escape with the road win. Toronto jumped out to a 16-point first quarter lead behind eight points apiece from James Johnson and DeMar DeRozan. Dallas finally caught up on a Jason Kidd three-pointer early in the second half, but the Raptors recovered and built a 14-point bulge on Leandro Barbosa's trey with 9:52 to play. From there, the Mavericks reeled off 10 straight, six by Dirk Nowitzki. The Mavericks went ahead on Jason Terry's fastbreak layup with 2:21 to play and Nowitzki capped an eight-point run with another transition bucket. The Raptors responded, getting a traditional three-point play and four free throws from Andrea Bargnani. The latter pair of charity tosses came with 22 seconds to play and put the Raptors up by a point. Kidd pushed the ball up for Dallas, dished to Shawn Marion, who handed off to Nowitzki at the three-point line ... BANG! The Mavericks were up a deuce and Toronto coach Dwane Casey signaled for a timeout. On the inbounds, Bargnani popped out to receive the pass, handed to DeRozan and cut for the basket. DeRozan dumped to the slashing Bargnani who went up for a runner which was ... REJECTED! ... by Dallas' Tyson Chandler. Ballgame.
STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
DALLAS 14 27 24 37 102
TORONTO 30 18 26 26 100
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
J.KIDD 42 5 12 42 3 9 33 0 0 3 0 6 6 8 0 2 4 0 13
J.TERRY 34 6 13 46 1 5 20 0 0 -7 0 0 0 5 2 0 1 0 13
D.NOWITZKI 31 8 21 38 1 4 25 7 7 100 15 1 3 4 2 4 0 1 0 24
S.MARION 36 8 15 53 0 1 0 0 0 -7 5 3 8 2 0 0 2 1 16
T.CHANDLER 35 6 9 67 0 0 3 6 50 -1 4 7 11 2 5 2 0 1 15
J.BAREA 17 4 5 80 1 1 100 2 2 100 9 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 11
B.HAYWOOD 15 1 1 100 0 0 0 0 7 3 0 3 0 5 0 0 1 2
P.STOJAKOVIC 11 1 5 20 1 2 50 2 3 67 -15 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 5
I.MAHINMI 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
R.FERNANDEZ 17 1 2 50 1 1 100 0 0 9 0 3 3 1 1 0 2 0 3
DALLAS 48 40 83 48 8 23 35 14 20 70 13 23 36 25 17 4 12 3 102
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
D.DEROZAN 37 10 15 67 0 0 1 1 100 4 4 4 8 2 5 1 1 0 21
A.BARGNANI 36 9 22 41 0 3 0 10 11 91 -2 2 8 10 1 5 0 3 0 28
J.CALDERON 31 5 10 50 0 0 0 0 7 0 3 3 13 2 1 3 0 10
E.DAVIS 28 3 6 50 0 0 0 0 -14 3 3 6 2 2 0 0 1 6
J.JOHNSON 21 4 5 80 0 1 0 2 3 67 -2 1 1 2 3 2 0 0 0 10
A.JOHNSON 27 0 6 0 0 0 1 2 50 6 2 4 6 0 3 0 0 0 1
J.BAYLESS 19 2 2 100 1 1 100 0 0 -6 1 4 5 2 3 1 3 0 5
L.BARBOSA 19 6 10 60 1 4 25 0 0 -10 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 13
L.KLEIZA 17 2 9 22 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 3 2 0 2 0 1 4
R.EVANS 5 1 1 100 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
TORONTO 48 42 86 49 2 10 20 14 17 82 15 28 43 27 22 5 10 2 100
DALLAS TORONTO
Fast Break Pts 12 Fast Break Pts 18
Second Chance Pts 10 Second Chance Pts 18
Points in the Paint 38 Points In the Paint 36
Biggest Lead 4 Biggest Lead 16
BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
DAL (2-2)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR TOR (1-3)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR
nowitzki,dirk........65% 39% 0.88 +15 23.0 bargnani,andrea......75% 41% 0.83 - 2 25.5
kidd,jason...........88% 17% 1.46 + 3 20.6 derozan,demar........77% 20% 1.32 + 4 20.9
chandler,tyson.......73% 14% 1.61 - 1 17.6 calderon,jose........65% 19% 1.53 + 7 18.5
marion,shawn.........75% 22% 1.10 - 7 16.5 barbosa,leandro......40% 25% 1.35 -10 13.3
barea,jose...........35% 18% 2.01 + 9 14.3 johnson,james........44% 12% 1.91 - 2 11.0
terry,jason..........71% 18% 1.13 - 7 13.8 davis,ed.............58% 8% 1.73 -14 8.5
stojakovic,peja......23% 32% 0.82 -15 6.3 bayless,jerryd.......40% 10% 1.76 - 6 7.8
fernandez,rudy.......35% 9% 1.38 + 9 4.5 kleiza,linas.........35% 25% 0.78 + 1 7.0
haywood,brendan......31% 0% 7.43 + 7 1.9 johnson,amir.........56% 10% 0.31 + 6 2.0
mahinmi,ian.......... 4% 20% 0.00 - 3 0.0 evans,reggie.........10% 7% 2.21 + 6 1.8
beaubois,rodrigue....(DNP) alabi,soloman........(DNP)
jones,dominique......(DNP) ajinca,alexis........(DNP)
PACE: 86.1 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA% PACE: 86.1 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA%
MAVERICKS........ 118.5 .530 .317 .139 .102 RAPTORS.......... 116.2 .500 .395 .116 .087
---
KINGS 106, LAKERS 102: Marcus Thornton scored 23 points off the bench and Jimmer Fredette had a nice outing with 17 points--on 6-of-10 shooting--and six assists as the Kings broke into the win column. Sacramento led for most of the game, never by more than 10, but was able to keep the Lakers at arm's length. Ron Artest--yes, we're still calling him that--hit a three with 15 seconds left to pull L.A. within three. Shannon Brown fouled Tyreke Evans, who sank one of two to seal the win. Evans had 21 points, six rebounds and 13 assists for the Kings, who grabbed more than a third of their own misses and held a 12-5 edge in second-chance points.
STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
LOS ANGELES L 21 31 25 25 102
SACRAMENTO 29 23 25 29 106
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
P.GASOL 41 7 19 37 0 0 5 7 71 -7 3 7 10 4 3 1 4 1 19
K.BRYANT 26 4 11 36 1 5 20 8 10 80 -11 0 5 5 3 6 2 6 0 17
R.ARTEST 37 4 11 36 2 7 29 0 0 -4 0 4 4 4 3 3 0 0 10
D.FISHER 27 5 9 56 1 3 33 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 5 1 3 0 11
A.BYNUM 23 4 7 57 0 0 2 6 33 11 3 0 3 1 3 0 0 1 10
L.ODOM 31 8 11 73 1 1 100 1 4 25 -7 1 8 9 2 1 0 0 0 18
S.BLAKE 20 3 3 100 2 2 100 0 0 -4 0 4 4 4 0 0 0 0 8
S.BROWN 19 3 7 43 1 4 25 0 0 -4 1 1 2 3 3 2 0 1 7
M.BARNES 8 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -9 1 0 1 0 5 0 3 0 0
D.CARACTER 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
D.EBANKS 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 100 7 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
T.RATLIFF 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
LOS ANGELES 48 38 79 48 8 22 36 18 31 58 9 29 38 23 30 9 16 3 102
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
D.COUSINS 32 7 15 47 1 1 100 1 4 25 1 2 8 10 1 5 1 4 3 16
T.EVANS 38 9 16 56 1 3 33 2 6 33 10 2 4 6 13 1 1 1 1 21
J.HICKSON 26 3 9 33 0 0 1 2 50 7 5 8 13 0 6 1 2 0 7
J.SALMONS 35 1 9 11 0 1 0 3 4 75 8 0 3 3 5 1 1 3 0 5
J.FREDETTE 31 6 10 60 1 4 25 4 4 100 0 1 3 4 6 2 0 2 0 17
S.DALEMBERT 18 5 6 83 0 1 0 1 2 50 5 2 4 6 0 1 0 0 2 11
M.THORNTON 27 7 15 47 2 6 33 7 7 100 -2 2 2 4 4 1 1 1 0 23
J.THOMPSON 20 3 5 60 0 0 0 0 -5 3 1 4 1 4 0 1 0 6
F.GARCIA 11 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
I.THOMAS 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SACRAMENTO 48 41 87 47 5 18 28 19 29 66 17 33 50 30 22 5 14 6 106
LOS ANGELES L SACRAMENTO
Fast Break Pts 12 Fast Break Pts 20
Second Chance Pts 5 Second Chance Pts 12
Points in the Paint 34 Points In the Paint 30
Biggest Lead 6 Biggest Lead 10
BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
LAL (3-2)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR SAC (1-3)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR
gasol,pau............85% 28% 0.82 - 7 20.5 evans,tyreke.........79% 21% 1.63 +10 26.1
odom,lamar...........65% 17% 1.60 - 7 18.7 thornton,marcus......56% 31% 1.33 - 2 21.0
artest,ron...........77% 12% 1.39 - 4 15.7 fredette,jimmer......65% 18% 1.58 0 18.6
bryant,kobe..........54% 37% 0.79 -11 14.8 cousins,demarcus.....67% 28% 0.86 + 1 16.0
blake,steve..........42% 5% 5.17 - 4 11.9 dalembert,samuel.....38% 15% 1.83 + 5 9.8
bynum,andrew.........48% 18% 1.02 +11 9.0 hickson,j.j..........54% 18% 0.78 + 7 8.1
brown,shannon........40% 15% 1.43 - 4 7.9 salmons,john.........73% 15% 0.70 + 8 7.9
fisher,derek.........56% 19% 0.76 + 7 7.0 thompson,jason.......42% 11% 1.19 - 5 4.9
ebanks,devin......... 6% 12% 2.86 + 7 2.2 garcia,francisco.....23% 5% 0.00 - 1 0.0
ratliff,theo......... 8% 8% 0.56 + 4 0.4 thomas,isaiah........(DNP)
barnes,matt..........17% 22% 0.00 - 9 0.0 jackson,darnell......(DNP)
ratliff,theo.........(DNP) greene,donte.........(DNP)
PACE: 94.3 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA% PACE: 94.3 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA%
LAKERS........... 108.2 .532 .214 .170 .145 KINGS............ 112.4 .500 .370 .149 .135
---
NETS 88, BUCKS 84: Who's the only unbeaten team in the East? Who's leading the NBA in rebounding. The answers: The Nets and Kris Humphries. Take that Kim K! Deron Williams scored 28 and Brook Lopez added 27 as New Jersey improved to 3-0. Humphries led all rebounders with 11 boards, all on the defensive end. Rookie Jordan Williams added eight points and 10 boards off the bench. Milwaukee, which rode an early blowout of the Knicks to the top spot in the power rankings we unveiled yesterday, got a 9-of-25 shooting performance from Stephen Jackson and a 4-of-14 showing from Brandon Jennings. That's pretty much the recipe for a Bucks loss.
STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
MILWAUKEE 23 18 31 12 84
NEW JERSEY 26 17 22 23 88
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
A.BOGUT 35 2 6 33 0 0 0 2 0 -8 1 9 10 3 4 0 3 1 4
B.JENNINGS 32 4 14 29 2 7 29 3 6 50 -10 0 2 2 6 0 2 0 0 13
L.MOUTE 23 1 3 33 0 1 0 0 2 0 -6 2 3 5 3 2 0 1 0 2
C.DELFINO 35 3 9 33 0 4 0 2 2 100 -6 2 3 5 0 3 1 0 0 8
S.JACKSON 41 9 25 36 4 8 50 3 3 100 -6 1 5 6 5 5 1 2 1 25
E.ILYASOVA 19 5 6 83 1 1 100 2 2 100 8 1 4 5 0 2 0 1 0 13
L.SANDERS 13 1 5 20 0 0 2 4 50 4 1 2 3 0 3 0 0 0 4
D.GOODEN 20 2 9 22 0 0 3 4 75 -2 3 6 9 1 2 0 3 1 7
B.UDRIH 16 3 5 60 1 2 50 1 2 50 6 0 3 3 1 1 1 0 0 8
S.LIVINGSTON 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
T.HARRIS 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
MILWAUKEE 48 30 82 37 8 23 35 16 27 59 11 38 49 20 22 5 10 3 84
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
B.LOPEZ 36 8 16 50 0 0 11 13 85 8 1 4 5 0 1 0 2 2 27
D.WILLIAMS 39 8 16 50 3 7 43 9 10 90 8 0 5 5 6 1 1 0 0 28
T.OUTLAW 24 1 6 17 1 4 25 0 0 9 0 3 3 1 2 1 1 0 3
K.HUMPHRIES 28 2 3 67 0 0 3 4 75 12 0 11 11 2 3 1 2 1 7
A.MORROW 31 1 4 25 0 1 0 0 0 -1 0 4 4 6 4 0 1 0 2
J.FARMAR 18 1 7 14 1 4 25 0 0 -3 0 0 0 4 1 1 0 0 3
S.GRAHAM 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
J.PETRO 9 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4 1 1 2 0 3 0 0 0 0
B.WRIGHT 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
D.JAMES 9 2 3 67 0 0 0 0 -4 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4
M.BROOKS 23 2 7 29 0 0 2 2 100 6 0 5 5 0 2 0 4 0 6
J.WILLIAMS 20 3 10 30 0 0 2 2 100 -8 3 7 10 0 4 0 2 0 8
NEW JERSEY 48 28 73 38 5 16 31 27 31 87 5 40 45 19 22 4 12 3 88
MILWAUKEE NEW JERSEY
Fast Break Pts 6 Fast Break Pts 14
Second Chance Pts 8 Second Chance Pts 0
Points in the Paint 20 Points In the Paint 18
Biggest Lead 10 Biggest Lead 11
BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
MIL (2-2)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR NWO (1-2)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR
jackson,stephen......85% 32% 1.01 - 6 26.8 williams,deron.......81% 25% 1.51 + 8 31.5
jennings,brandon.....67% 23% 1.12 -10 16.3 lopez,brook..........75% 31% 0.98 + 8 23.5
ilyasova,ersan.......40% 18% 1.67 + 8 11.3 humphries,kris.......58% 11% 1.53 +12 9.9
gooden,drew..........42% 32% 0.65 - 2 8.8 williams,jordan......42% 31% 0.64 - 8 8.2
udrih,beno...........33% 16% 1.66 + 6 8.5 farmar,jordan........38% 18% 0.90 - 3 5.8
delfino,carlos.......73% 11% 0.87 - 6 7.4 brooks,marshon.......48% 24% 0.48 + 6 5.6
bogut,andrew.........73% 11% 0.85 - 8 7.0 morrow,anthony.......65% 7% 1.31 - 1 5.6
mbahamoute,luc.......48% 8% 1.20 - 6 4.4 outlaw,travis........50% 13% 0.67 + 9 5.3
sanders,larry........27% 23% 0.50 + 4 2.5 james,damion.........19% 15% 1.02 - 4 2.8
livingston,shaun..... 4% 25% 0.68 0 0.7 graham,stephen....... 2% 51% 0.00 - 3 0.0
harris,tobias........ 8% 12% 0.26 0 0.3 brooks,marshon.......(DNP)
brockman,jon.........(DNP) williams,jordan......(DNP)
PACE: 89.5 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA% PACE: 89.5 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA%
BUCKS............ 93.8 .415 .216 .112 .133 NETS............. 98.3 .418 .116 .134 .152
---
SPURS 108, WARRIORS 105: As noted, the Warriors lost Stephen Curry eight minutes into the game, which was a shame because he had already racked up 12 points and three steals. In his place, Charles Jenkins had eight points and three assists, while Klay Thompson scored six points. Monta Ellis led Golden State with 23 points and his eight assists, indicating a heightened role in running Mark Jackson's offense. Ellis hit a jumper with 1:14 to play to give the Warriors a two-point lead. But Tony Parker hit a three, Tim Duncan scored inside and Golden State didn't score again after Ellis' hoop. The Spurs, who are now 3-0, got 27 points from Manu Ginobili.
STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
SAN ANTONIO 32 24 27 25 108
GOLDEN STATE 23 36 26 20 105
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
T.PARKER 31 7 13 54 1 1 100 5 6 83 18 0 2 2 12 5 2 6 0 20
R.JEFFERSON 27 3 6 50 2 3 67 0 0 21 1 7 8 2 0 1 1 0 8
M.GINOBILI 30 11 22 50 2 8 25 3 3 100 16 1 2 3 7 1 1 0 0 27
T.DUNCAN 29 6 9 67 0 0 4 4 100 22 2 6 8 3 1 1 1 5 16
D.BLAIR 21 1 4 25 0 0 2 4 50 8 1 6 7 0 3 1 1 0 4
G.NEAL 24 6 7 86 2 3 67 0 0 -16 0 3 3 1 2 0 1 0 14
M.BONNER 18 1 2 50 0 1 0 0 0 10 0 4 4 2 1 0 1 0 2
A.McDYESS 13 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -16 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
T.SPLITTER 19 3 6 50 0 0 4 5 80 -19 1 2 3 0 1 0 0 1 10
C.JOSEPH 11 2 5 40 1 3 33 0 0 -12 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 5
K.LEONARD 17 1 3 33 0 0 0 0 -17 2 2 4 0 3 0 2 0 2
SAN ANTONIO 48 41 79 52 8 19 42 18 22 82 8 36 44 28 17 7 14 6 108
----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT--- REBOUNDS
NAME MIN MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/- OF DF T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
M.ELLIS 44 11 22 50 1 3 33 0 2 0 -3 0 1 1 8 3 3 2 1 23
D.WRIGHT 39 6 17 35 5 11 45 2 2 100 -21 0 9 9 2 0 0 1 0 19
D.LEE 34 5 12 42 0 0 4 6 67 -19 3 6 9 4 2 0 1 0 14
S.CURRY 8 4 7 57 2 4 50 2 2 100 -3 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 12
A.BIEDRINS 19 0 5 0 0 0 1 2 50 -13 7 2 9 2 3 1 0 0 1
R.WILLIAMS 14 4 6 67 0 1 0 0 0 13 2 2 4 2 2 0 0 0 8
V.RADMANOVIC 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
E.UDOH 28 3 8 38 0 0 2 2 100 8 0 3 3 1 2 0 1 3 8
L.AMUNDSON 14 3 4 75 0 0 0 2 0 14 1 3 4 0 2 0 0 0 6
A.THORNTON 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0
K.THOMPSON 18 3 6 50 0 0 0 2 0 -7 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 6
C.JENKINS 19 3 6 50 1 2 50 1 1 100 10 0 2 2 3 2 0 0 1 8
GOLDEN STAT 48 42 94 45 9 22 41 12 21 57 13 28 41 23 18 7 9 5 105
SAN ANTONIO GOLDEN STATE
Fast Break Pts 30 Fast Break Pts 20
Second Chance Pts 9 Second Chance Pts 8
Points in the Paint 22 Points In the Paint 24
Biggest Lead 11 Biggest Lead 7
BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
SAS (3-0)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR GSW (1-3)...........PLY% USG PCP +/- GR
ginobili,manu........63% 37% 1.22 +16 31.0 ellis,monta..........92% 24% 1.13 - 3 23.7
parker,tony..........65% 33% 1.13 +18 21.8 wright,dorell........81% 20% 1.35 -21 22.6
duncan,tim...........60% 18% 1.59 +22 16.8 lee,david............71% 19% 1.15 -19 15.2
neal,gary............50% 15% 1.78 -16 13.0 curry,stephen........17% 50% 1.38 - 3 11.0
jefferson,richard....56% 11% 1.83 +21 10.4 udoh,epke............58% 14% 0.94 + 8 8.6
splitter,tiago.......40% 20% 1.08 -19 7.7 williams,reggie......29% 17% 1.61 +13 8.5
joseph,cory..........23% 25% 0.95 -12 5.6 jenkins,charles......40% 13% 1.73 +10 8.5
blair,dejuan.........44% 14% 0.71 + 8 4.3 amundson,louis.......29% 14% 1.30 +14 5.2
bonner,matt..........38% 6% 1.49 +10 3.1 thompson,klay........38% 21% 0.69 - 7 5.2
leonard,kawhi........35% 13% 0.42 -17 1.9 biedrins,andris......40% 12% 0.96 -13 4.4
mcdyess,antonio......27% 6% 0.37 -16 0.5 radmanovic,vladimir.. 2% 49% 0.00 + 4 0.0
green,danny..........(DNP) jenkins,charles......(DNP)
PACE: 93.1 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA% PACE: 93.1 ORTG eFG% oRB% TO% FTA%
SPURS............ 116.0 .570 .222 .150 .104 WARRIORS......... 112.8 .495 .265 .097 .099
---
STANDINGS SCORING AVERAGE REBOUNDS⁄GAME FIELD GOAL PCT
TEAM WON LOST ------------------- ------------------- -------------------
NJN 3 0 K.DURANT OKC 33.8 K.HUMPHRI NJN 14.7 J.VESELY WAS .733
BOS 2 1 L.ALDRIDG POR 32.0 A.JEFFERS UTA 13.0 N.HILARIO DEN .692
PHI 1 2 L.JAMES MIA 32.0 K.LOVE MIN 12.7 M.MORRIS PHX .647
NYK 1 2 M.ELLIS GSW 29.8 A.BOGUT MIL 12.0 G.HENDERS CHA .640
TOR 1 3 R.GAY MEM 29.7 K.GARNETT BOS 12.0 G.NEAL SAS .619
TEAM WON LOST
DET 2 1 FREE THROW PCT THREE POINT PCT ASSISTS⁄GAME
CHI 2 1 ------------------- ------------------- -------------------
MIL 2 2 A.AFFLALO DEN1.000 C.ARROYO BOS1.000 S.NASH PHX 13.3
IND 1 2 C.BOSH MIA1.000 E.ILYASOV MIL1.000 C.PAUL NOH 11.7
CLE 1 3 C.PAUL NOH1.000 J.JEFFRIE NYK1.000 R.RONDO BOS 11.3
TEAM WON LOST D.COLLISO IND1.000 V.WAFER BOS1.000 A.IGUODAL PHI 10.0
MIA 2 1 D.DEROZAN TOR1.000 D.HARRIS UTA .800 R.WESTBRO OKC 10.0
CHA 2 1
ORL 2 2 STEALS⁄GAME TURNOVERS⁄GAME BLOCKS⁄GAME
ATL 1 2 ------------------- ------------------- -------------------
WAS 0 3 T.ALLEN MEM 3.3 D.ROSE CHI 5.0 T.DUNCAN SAS 3.3
TEAM WON LOST A.IGUODAL PHI 2.7 J.WALL WAS 4.3 S.IBAKA OKC 3.2
SAS 3 0 J.NOAH CHI 2.7 R.RONDO BOS 4.0 A.STOUDEM NYK 3.0
NOH 2 1 J.VESELY WAS 2.3 Z.RANDOLP MEM 4.0 K.GARNETT BOS 3.0
HOU 2 1 K.FARIED DEN 2.3 D.COUSINS SAC 3.8 E.BRAND PHI 2.7
DAL 2 2
MEM 1 2
TEAM WON LOST
DEN 3 0
MIN 2 1
UTA 1 2
POR 1 2
OKC 1 3
TEAM WON LOST
PHX 3 0
LAL 3 2
LAC 1 2
SAC 1 3
GSW 1 3
DATE YESTERDAY'S SCORES HIGH POINTS HIGH REBOUNDS HIGH ASSISTS
---- ------------------------ --------------- -------------- ------------
11⁄7 DEN 112 vs CLE 82 Multiple 17 A.VAREJAO 10 B.DAVIS 8
11⁄7 DAL 102 @ TOR 100 A.BARGNANI 28 T.CHANDLER 11 J.CALDERON 13
11⁄7 SAC 106 vs LAL 102 M.THORNTON 23 J.HICKSON 13 T.EVANS 13
11⁄7 NJN 88 vs MIL 84 D.WILLIAMS 28 K.HUMPHRIES 11 Multiple 6
11⁄7 SAS 108 @ GSW 105 M.GINOBILI 27 Multiple 9 T.PARKER 12
TODAY'S SCHEDULED GAMES
-----------------------
HOUSTON (2-1) at INDIANA (1-2)
LOS ANGELES C (1-2) at CHICAGO (2-1)
OKLAHOMA CITY (1-3) at NEW YORK (1-2)
PHOENIX (3-0) at MEMPHIS (1-2)
UTAH (1-2) at MIAMI (2-1)
GLOSSARY
+/- (Plus-Minus) Raw data is from official box scores from NBA.com.
GR (Game Rating) Reflects a player's Points Created total, or the portion of his team's offense for which he gets credit based on his box score line. This number is then adjusted for estimated defensive performance based on box score counterpart productivity. GR is pace-adjusted so you can compare players from game to game.
PCP (Points Created Per Possession Used) An estimate of each player's points created per possession used, a measure of offensive efficiency. The stat accounts for a player's entire box score line, not just the scoring categories.
PLY% (Play percentage) An estimate of the percentage of a team's possessions on which the player was on the court.
USG An estimate of how many of those plays a player used by shooting, going to the line or committing a turnover, with a portion the team's offensive rebound total subtracted.
TEAM STATS
PACE: Estimated possessions in the game.
ORTG: A team's points per 100 possessions.
eFG%: Team's shooting percentage with an extra half-point added for each made three-point field goal.
oRB%: Percentage of a team's misses that they retrieved off the offensive glass.
TO%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a turnover.
FTA%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a trip to the foul line.
Bradford Doolittle is an author of Basketball Prospectus.
You can contact Bradford by clicking here or click here to see Bradford's other articles.
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