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Premium Article What if They Played No... (11/07)

November 7, 2011
Sim Season
One Week in the Books

by Bradford Doolittle

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I have fond memories of rooting against the Lakers on Sunday night dating way back to listening to Chick Hearn and Keith Erickson calling the Showtime Lakers back in the days of UFO-sized satellite dishes. For me, the late Sunday Lakers game has always represented the page turning moment from one week to the next.

Last night's Lakers-Hornets game marked the end of the first week of Sim Season, which can only mean one thing: Power rankings! You should never really present the results of a power rankings formula this early. But I'm going to do it anyway. Just keep in mind that at this point, one or two blowouts as well as unwieldy strength-of-schedule scores result in some extreme early ratings.

TEAM, POW                          TEAM, POW
 1. bucks,milwaukee, 82.9          16. hawks,atlanta, 35.6
 2. bulls,chicago, 77.2            17. magic,orlando, 34.8
 3. spurs,sanantonio, 73.6         18. thunder,oklahomacity, 33.3
 4. lakers,losangeles, 68.9        19. jazz,utah, 31.7
 5. suns,phoenix, 59.7             20. warriors,goldenstate, 28.4
 6. pistons,detroit, 58.9          21. 76ers,philadelphia, 28.3
 7. trailblazers,portland, 57.4    22. mavericks,dallas, 28.3
 8. nuggets,denver, 51.3           23. hornets,neworleans, 26.7
 9. celtics,boston, 45.8           24. pacers,indiana, 26.4
10. timberwolves,minnesota, 45.7   25. cavaliers,cleveland, 23.8
11. nets,newjersey, 45.5           26. knicks,newyork, 22.9
12. bobcats,charlotte, 45.4        27. rockets,houston, 20.4
13. heat,miami, 39.2               28. clippers,losangeles, 16.6
14. grizzlies,memphis, 38.8        29. kings,sacramento, 6.0
15. raptors,toronto, 36.8          30. wizards,washington, 4.0
NOTE: POW, our formula for a team's power rating, is an estimate of
a team's "true talent" level expressed as wins per 82 games. The 
formula takes into account point differential, home-road performance,
record in close games and strength of schedule.

That's how it all played out in Week One, through which we've played the 45 games the NBA hasn't as part of our Sim Season, our Strat-O-Matic simulation of the locked out 2011-12 season. We'll be doing this every day, so check back tomorrow for the results of tonight's action. You can follow me on Twitter for periodic updates on the night's action. Watch for the #simseason hashtag.

A reminder: Strat-O-Matic veterans already know this, but the newest version of SOM's Computer Basketball Game (Version 9.0) was recently released. As it happens, our favorite gaming company is offering a discount for all you lockout-weary fans who want to run your own simulations. Or maybe you just want to match wits with a fellow hoops fan, no matter where in the world he/she may reside. All you have to do is go to this page to place an order. When you check out, just enter the discount code LOCKOUT to get 15% knocked off the listed price.
NOTE: The offer has been extended and now expires at 11:59 p.m. EST on Nov. 20. Enjoy!

CAVALIERS 93, CLIPPERS 91, OT: Early, it was a duel between Antawn Jamison and Eric Gordon. Both scored 12 points in a dead-even first period. The Cavs, seeking their first win of the season, led by a point both at halftime and the end of the third quarter. It stayed close. L.A.'s Ryan Gomes drilled a three with 4:43 to play, putting the Clippers up five. Cleveland answered with a seven-point run that included a layup and two free throws from Kyrie Irving. Gordon hit a jumper with 1:26 to play, then neither team scored for the rest of regulation, giving us our first overtime session of the season. Blake Griffin scored on consecutive possessions to put the Clippers up two with 2:39 to go in the extra session. Baron Davis scored twice in a row in transition to put the Cavs up by a deuce, but Eric Bledsoe answered with a three to snatch the lead back for L.A. With the shot clock winding down, Davis sank a clutch three with nine seconds left. The Clippers had one final chance, but Griffin was called for a charge and Cleveland escaped with the road win. Omri Casspi had 16 points on 7-of-11 shooting for the Cavs, Irving added 11 points, four rebounds and six assists while fellow rookie Tristan Thompson chipped in with nine points and five boards off the bench.

STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
CLEVELAND                   20 22 19 20 12   93
LOS ANGELES C               20 21 19 21 10   91

                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
A.JAMISON    30   6 19  32  2  7  29  4  8  50   2   0  6  6  0  3  1  1  0  18
B.DAVIS      33   5 10  50  1  3  33  0  0       1   1  2  3  7  3  1  4  0  11
A.VAREJAO    36   0  3   0  0  0      0  0       1   5  7 12  1  2  1  2  0   0
O.CASSPI     31   7 11  64  2  4  50  0  0       2   3  4  7  1  0  1  3  0  16
K.IRVING     37   4  7  57  1  3  33  2  2 100   8   2  2  4  6  2  1  2  0  11
R.SESSIONS   18   1  4  25  0  0      5  6  83   2   0  1  1  1  2  1  3  0   7
D.GIBSON     19   4  7  57  2  3  67  1  1 100  -7   0  0  0  0  2  0  0  0  11
R.HOLLINS    10   0  2   0  0  0      0  0       0   1  0  1  1  3  0  0  0   0
A.GEE         7   0  1   0  0  0      2  2 100  -1   0  1  1  2  1  0  0  0   2
C.EYENGA     16   2  5  40  0  1   0  1  2  50   1   0  2  2  0  0  1  0  0   5
S.SAMUELS     7   1  2  50  0  0      1  2  50  -1   1  2  3  0  1  0  0  1   3
T.THOMPSON   21   3  4  75  0  0      3  3 100   2   0  5  5  1  0  1  4  0   9
CLEVELAND    53  33 75  44  8 21  38 19 26  73      13 32 45 20 19  8 19  1  93
                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
B.GRIFFIN    34   5  8  62  0  0      4  4 100  -2   3  4  7  1  6  0  3  0  14
E.GORDON     42   8 22  36  2  7  29  1  1 100  -8   0  1  1  4  1  3  4  0  19
R.GOMES      33   2  8  25  1  6  17  0  0      -7   1  4  5  1  1  1  0  0   5
D.JORDAN     30   2  4  50  0  0      1  2  50  -2   2  4  6  3  2  1  2  3   5
E.BLEDSOE    37   5 10  50  1  4  25  0  0      -4   0  3  3  4  2  2  3  0  11
M.WILLIAMS   10   0  5   0  0  1   0  2  2 100  -2   0  0  0  3  0  0  0  0   2
R.FOYE       19   4  6  67  0  1   0  2  2 100   5   0  0  0  1  1  0  0  1  10
A.AMINU      14   1  2  50  1  1 100  0  0       2   1  0  1  1  2  0  1  0   3
C.KAMAN      28   7 14  50  0  0      2  2 100   1   3  9 12  2  2  2  4  2  16
C.SMITH       3   1  1 100  0  0      0  0       3   0  0  0  0  1  0  0  0   2
W.WARREN      7   0  1   0  0  1   0  0  0       3   0  1  1  3  0  0  0  0   0
T.THOMPKINS   8   2  2 100  0  0      0  0       1   1  3  4  0  0  1  0  0   4
LOS ANGELES  53  37 83  45  5 21  24 12 13  92      11 29 40 23 18 10 17  6  91

CLEVELAND                   LOS ANGELES C
     Fast Break Pts  18          Fast Break Pts  14
  Second Chance Pts   7       Second Chance Pts  10
Points in the Paint  20     Points In the Paint  34
       Biggest Lead   6            Biggest Lead   5

BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
CLE (1-2)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR  LAC (1-2)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
casspi,omri..........58%  23%  1.33  + 2 18.1  gordon,eric..........79%  33%  0.80  - 8 19.7
jamison,antawn.......57%  42%  0.72  + 2 17.3  kaman,chris..........53%  35%  1.00  + 1 19.0
irving,kyrie.........70%  12%  1.75  + 8 15.2  bledsoe,eric.........70%  17%  1.13  - 4 13.5
davis,baron..........62%  21%  1.14  + 1 14.8  griffin,blake........64%  18%  1.04  - 2 12.1
thompson,tristan.....40%  22%  1.09  + 2  9.2  jordan,deandre.......57%  10%  1.45  - 2  9.2
gibson,daniel........36%  19%  1.41  - 7  8.3  foye,randy...........36%  17%  1.37  + 5  7.3
sessions,ramon.......34%  28%  0.66  + 2  6.2  gomes,ryan...........62%  11%  1.03  - 7  5.7
eyenga,christian.....30%  18%  0.91  + 1  4.9  thompkins,trey.......15%  11%  2.78  + 1  4.4
varejao,anderson.....68%   4%  1.27  + 1  3.8  williams,maurice.....19%  30%  0.65  - 2  3.7
samuels,samardo......13%  20%  1.19  - 1  2.8  aminu,alfarouq.......26%   9%  1.48  + 2  3.3
gee,alonzo...........13%  12%  1.82  - 1  2.8  warren,willie........13%   5%  3.40  + 3  2.3
hollins,ryan.........19%   8%  0.12    0  0.2  smith,craig.......... 6%  16%  1.46  + 3  1.2
PACE: 89.8          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%  PACE: 89.8          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
CAVALIERS........  103.5 .493  .310 .211 .127  CLIPPERS.........  101.3 .476  .256 .189 .064

---

HEAT 108, WIZARDS 86: At the outset, it looked like the Heat were poised for a complete dismantling of the Wizards. LeBron James scored 10 points as Miami jumped out to a 16-2 lead. The Wizards climbed back and closed within 29-26 midway through the second quarter on Shelvin Mack's transition hoop. Washington eventually tied the game on Nick Young's three with 7:25 to go in the third quarter. The Heat responded with a 9-1 burst to keep the Wizards at bay, then pulled away in the fourth quarter. James had a monster line with 39 points, 13 rebounds, five assists and five steals. Ultimately, Washington never led in the game and fell to 0-3. John Wall had 15 points, five boards and nine assists but also committed nine turnovers.

STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
WASHINGTON                  17 23 24 22   86
MIAMI                       22 22 32 32  108

                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
J.WALL       36   4  8  50  0  1   0  7  7 100 -25   0  5  5  9  3  1  9  2  15
J.McGEE      28   2  3  67  0  0      1  2  50 -12   0  3  3  0  2  1  0  2   5
A.BLATCHE    31   4 11  36  0  1   0  2  2 100 -23   3  7 10  2  5  3  3  0  10
N.YOUNG      28   7 16  44  3  6  50  1  2  50 -12   0  3  3  0  2  0  0  0  18
R.LEWIS      24   3  7  43  1  4  25  1  2  50  -6   3  4  7  2  3  0  0  0   8
T.BOOKER     13   0  3   0  0  0      0  0      -1   1  2  3  0  1  0  0  1   0
J.CRAWFORD   24   4 10  40  1  4  25  4  4 100 -16   0  3  3  2  2  0  1  0  13
K.SERAPHIN    8   0  2   0  0  0      0  0       0   0  0  0  0  2  0  0  0   0
J.VESELY     23   3  4  75  0  0      2  2 100  -3   1  3  4  1  4  2  2  1   8
C.SINGLETON  13   2  6  33  1  4  25  0  0     -15   0  0  0  1  1  1  0  0   5
S.MACK       12   2  4  50  0  1   0  0  0       3   0  1  1  1  2  1  3  0   4
WASHINGTON   48  31 74  42  6 21  29 18 21  86       8 31 39 18 27  9 18  6  86
                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
L.JAMES      38  14 29  48  3  5  60  8 11  73  22   3 10 13  5  2  5  1  0  39
D.WADE       36   6 13  46  1  2  50  9 12  75  21   3  5  8  6  4  0  3  1  22
C.BOSH       38   6 11  55  0  0      7  7 100  22   2  4  6  1  0  1  1  1  19
M.CHALMERS   23   2  8  25  1  6  17  1  2  50   7   0  3  3  4  3  3  0  0   6
J.ANTHONY    22   2  2 100  0  0      0  0      15   1  5  6  0  4  0  0  0   4
M.BIBBY       4   0  1   0  0  1   0  0  0       2   0  0  0  1  0  0  0  0   0
J.JONES       1   0  0      0  0      0  0       0   0  0  0  0  0  1  0  0   0
E.HOUSE       8   2  6  33  1  4  25  0  0       0   0  1  1  0  0  0  0  0   5
M.MILLER     20   0  2   0  0  1   0  2  2 100  10   0  3  3  3  2  0  4  0   2
E.DAMPIER     6   1  1 100  0  0      1  2  50  -2   0  2  2  0  0  0  0  0   3
U.HASLEM     29   2  3  67  0  0      0  0       9   1  3  4  1  1  0  2  0   4
N.COLE       15   1  2  50  0  1   0  2  2 100   4   0  0  0  2  3  0  0  0   4
MIAMI        48  36 78  46  6 20  30 30 38  79      10 36 46 23 19 10 11  2 108

WASHINGTON                  MIAMI
     Fast Break Pts  18          Fast Break Pts  12
  Second Chance Pts   4       Second Chance Pts  14
Points in the Paint  14     Points In the Paint  22
       Biggest Lead   0            Biggest Lead  25

BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
WAS (0-3)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR  MIA (2-1)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
wall,john............75%  26%  0.97  -25 20.1  james,lebron.........79%  43%  1.23  +22 42.0
young,nick...........58%  29%  1.00  -12 17.0  wade,dwyane..........75%  27%  1.18  +21 23.1
crawford,jordan......50%  25%  1.00  -16 12.6  bosh,chris...........79%  17%  1.31  +22 19.1
blatche,andray.......65%  22%  0.82  -23 12.0  chalmers,mario.......48%  17%  1.16  + 7  8.5
lewis,rashard........50%  15%  1.31  - 6  9.2  haslem,udonis........60%   6%  1.25  + 9  5.3
vesely,jan...........48%  13%  1.23  - 3  8.2  house,eddie..........17%  35%  0.87    0  5.0
singleton,chris......27%  22%  0.94  -15  5.6  anthony,joel.........46%   2%  3.41  +15  4.4
mcgee,javale.........58%   5%  1.60  -12  5.0  miller,mike..........42%  14%  0.63  +10  4.0
mack,shelvin.........25%  28%  0.57  + 3  4.1  cole,norris..........31%   7%  1.60  + 4  3.4
booker,trevor........27%  10%  0.30  - 1  0.9  dampier,erick........13%  13%  1.75  - 2  3.2
seraphin,kevin.......17%  11%  0.00    0  0.0  bibby,mike........... 8%  10%  0.84  + 2  0.7
evans,maurice........(DNP)                     jones,james.......... 2%  50%  0.33    0  0.4
PACE: 90.7          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%  PACE: 90.7          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
WIZARDS..........   94.8 .459  .182 .198 .102  HEAT.............  119.1 .500  .244 .121 .184

---

MAGIC 103, 76ERS 92: The Magic had runs of 14-4 and 9-0 to build a 26-point first half lead with Gilbert Arenas--a dead cinch amnesty lock in the real McCoy--scoring 15 points. The Sixers finished the half with a 14-1 surge. But that was the high point for Philly, as Orlando led by double figures most of the rest of the way and never led by fewer than eight points. The Magic evened its record at 2-2, getting 23 points and 12 boards from Dwight Howard and a season-best 20 from Arenas.

STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
PHILADELPHIA                14 29 26 23   92
ORLANDO                     26 27 27 23  103

                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
J.HOLIDAY    36   7 14  50  0  3   0  2  3  67  -8   0  4  4  7  2  1  3  0  16
E.BRAND      32   3  7  43  0  0      3  3 100  -8   1  4  5  0  4  0  2  5   9
A.IGUODALA   42  10 18  56  2  2 100  1  3  33  -6   1  5  6  8  2  3  1  0  23
J.MEEKS      29   3  4  75  2  2 100  0  0     -16   0  2  2  0  1  0  2  0   8
S.HAWES      22   3  8  38  1  1 100  0  0      -6   0  5  5  0  2  1  2  0   7
T.YOUNG      20   5  8  62  0  0      0  0       3   1  3  4  2  3  1  2  1  10
E.TURNER     24   1  3  33  1  1 100  1  2  50   2   0  2  2  4  2  1  1  0   4
L.WILLIAMS   12   5  7  71  1  2  50  0  0      -3   0  0  0  2  0  0  1  0  11
A.NOCIONI     7   1  2  50  0  0      0  0      -7   0  1  1  0  0  0  1  0   2
M.SPEIGHTS    8   1  3  33  0  0      0  0      -8   0  1  1  2  1  0  1  0   2
N.VUCEVIC     8   0  1   0  0  0      0  0       2   0  2  2  0  2  0  0  0   0
PHILADELPHI  48  39 75  52  7 11  64  7 11  64       3 29 32 25 19  7 16  6  92
                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
D.HOWARD     39  10 16  62  0  0      3  9  33   6   4  8 12  0  4  0  3  1  23
J.RICHARDSON 31   4 16  25  2  7  29  0  0      -2   0  1  1  2  3  1  1  0  10
H.TURKOGLU   35   4  7  57  1  2  50  2  2 100   5   0  4  4  7  2  1  3  0  11
J.NELSON     30   4  6  67  0  2   0  2  2 100   9   0  2  2  7  3  1  1  0  10
B.BASS       28   5  8  62  0  0      1  1 100   6   0  8  8  0  2  0  1  2  11
G.ARENAS     19   8 16  50  4 10  40  0  0       4   0  2  2  3  3  1  1  0  20
J.REDICK     27   4  7  57  2  4  50  0  0       8   0  4  4  4  1  1  0  0  10
R.ANDERSON   21   0  2   0  0  1   0  4  4 100  15   2  3  5  1  3  1  3  0   4
Q.RICHARDSON  7   1  2  50  0  1   0  0  0       5   0  0  0  0  0  0  1  0   2
M.ALLEN       2   1  1 100  0  0      0  0      -1   0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0   2
J.HARPER      1   0  0      0  0      0  0       0   0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0   0
ORLANDO      48  41 81  51  9 27  33 12 18  67       6 32 38 24 21  6 14  3 103

PHILADELPHIA                ORLANDO
     Fast Break Pts  16          Fast Break Pts  14
  Second Chance Pts   5       Second Chance Pts   3
Points in the Paint  22     Points In the Paint  24
       Biggest Lead   2            Biggest Lead  23

BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
PHI (1-2)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR  ORL (2-2)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
iguodala,andre.......88%  24%  1.32  - 6 27.8  howard,dwight........81%  27%  0.95  + 6 21.1
holiday,jrue.........75%  25%  0.98  - 8 18.1  arenas,gilbert.......40%  42%  1.27  + 4 20.6
young,thaddeus.......42%  25%  0.99  + 3 10.9  turkoglu,hedo........73%  14%  1.52  + 5 14.8
meeks,jodie..........60%  10%  1.36  -16  8.6  nelson,jameer........63%  11%  1.80  + 9 13.6
williams,lou.........25%  33%  1.32  - 3  8.4  redick,j.j...........56%  11%  2.11  + 8 13.3
brand,elton..........67%  16%  0.80  - 8  8.2  bass,brandon.........58%  15%  1.23  + 6 11.3
hawes,spencer........46%  22%  0.72  - 6  7.7  richardson,jason.....65%  25%  0.65  - 2 10.3
turner,evan..........50%   9%  1.45  + 2  6.8  anderson,ryan........44%  14%  0.75  +15  4.9
speights,marreese....17%  25%  0.72  - 8  2.8  allen,malik.......... 4%  23%  1.68  - 1  1.6
nocioni,andres.......15%  21%  0.61  - 7  1.8  richardson,quentin...15%  19%  0.56  + 5  1.5
vucevic,nikola.......17%   5%  0.00  + 2  0.0  harper,justin........ 2%  50%  0.00    0  0.0
allen,lavoy..........(DNP)                     liggins,deandre......(DNP)  
PACE: 91.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%  PACE: 91.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
76ERS............  101.0 .567  .086 .176 .053  MAGIC............  113.1 .562  .171 .154 .087

---

PISTONS 85, KNICKS 71: This was a tight game throughout before the Pistons stunned the Knicks with a 14-0 run to finish the game and held New York scoreless over the last 4:43. Rodney Stuckey led the finishing kick and scored a game-high 22 points. Carmelo Anthony scored 22 points and the Knicks got promising results from rookie Iman Shumpert, who put up six points, three boards, four assists, two steals and a block in 15 minutes. But New YOrk lost for the second straight time since knocking off Miami to open the season. Amar'e Stoudemire scored just nine points and the Knicks were just 7-of-10 from the foul stripe.

STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
NEW YORK                    25 15 15 16   71
DETROIT                     21 15 23 26   85

                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
A.STOUDEMIRE 35   4 10  40  0  0      1  2  50 -12   0  5  5  1  4  1  2  4   9
C.ANTHONY    35   9 20  45  1  2  50  3  4  75 -13   2  3  5  4  3  1  2  1  22
L.FIELDS     37   4 12  33  1  7  14  2  2 100 -12   1  7  8  1  1  0  2  0  11
C.BILLUPS    33   3 10  30  3  8  38  0  0     -18   0  3  3  6  1  1  1  0   9
R.TURIAF     15   2  5  40  0  0      0  0       4   1  2  3  2  5  0  1  0   4
T.DOUGLAS     9   1  5  20  1  4  25  0  0       3   0  0  0  3  2  0  1  0   3
S.WILLIAMS   16   3  4  75  0  1   0  0  0      -5   1  2  3  0  1  1  2  2   6
B.WALKER      5   0  1   0  0  1   0  1  2  50  -4   1  0  1  0  0  0  0  0   1
J.JEFFRIES   22   0  0      0  0      0  0     -15   2  1  3  0  3  0  4  1   0
A.RAUTINS     2   0  0      0  0      0  0      -2   0  0  0  0  0  1  0  0   0
J.HARRELLSON 16   0  0      0  0      0  0       2   3  4  7  1  2  0  1  0   0
I.SHUMPERT   15   3  7  43  0  0      0  0       2   1  2  3  4  0  2  1  1   6
NEW YORK     48  29 74  39  6 23  26  7 10  70      12 29 41 22 22  7 17  9  71
                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
T.PRINCE     34   6 16  38  0  0      0  0      18   3  4  7  4  2  1  0  1  12
G.MONROE     29   2  4  50  0  0      2  2 100  14   4  5  9  1  2  1  2  1   6
R.STUCKEY    23   8 13  62  0  0      6  7  86  15   2  2  4  3  3  1  0  0  22
B.GORDON     25   5  7  71  2  4  50  0  0      14   0  1  1  3  0  0  2  0  12
J.JEREBKO    21   1  5  20  0  2   0  2  4  50  17   1  3  4  2  1  1  1  1   4
T.McGRADY    17   1  4  25  0  0      0  0       1   0  2  2  0  1  1  1  0   2
C.VILLANUEVA 17   6 15  40  2  5  40  2  4  50  -4   1  4  5  1  3  0  0  0  16
A.DAYE       21   0  5   0  0  1   0  0  0       3   1  2  3  1  3  0  4  0   0
B.WALLACE    19   0  2   0  0  0      0  0       0   1  1  2  1  1  1  1  1   0
J.MAXIELL     6   1  1 100  0  0      0  2   0  -4   1  2  3  0  0  1  0  0   2
W.BYNUM      13   0  3   0  0  0      1  1 100   1   0  0  0  1  0  0  1  0   1
B.KNIGHT     15   3  3 100  2  2 100  0  0      -5   0  1  1  1  1  1  1  0   8
DETROIT      48  33 78  42  6 14  43 13 20  65      14 27 41 18 17  8 13  4  85

NEW YORK                    DETROIT
     Fast Break Pts  14          Fast Break Pts   4
  Second Chance Pts   7       Second Chance Pts  18
Points in the Paint  22     Points In the Paint  24
       Biggest Lead  10            Biggest Lead  14

BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
NYK (1-2)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR  DET (2-1)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
anthony,carmelo......73%  35%  0.97  -13 22.1  villanueva,charlie...35%  51%  0.96  - 4 20.2
billups,chauncey.....69%  16%  1.49  -18 14.2  stuckey,rodney.......48%  35%  1.34  +15 20.2
fields,landry........77%  19%  0.89  -12 11.7  prince,tayshaun......71%  23%  1.02  +18 15.2
shumpert,iman........31%  27%  1.25  + 2 10.1  gordon,ben...........52%  16%  1.74  +14 14.0
stoudemire,amare.....73%  18%  0.80  -12  9.4  knight,brandon.......31%  11%  2.78  - 5  9.5
williams,shawne......33%  18%  1.14  - 5  7.3  monroe,greg..........60%  10%  1.54  +14  8.5
douglas,toney........19%  35%  0.81  + 3  4.6  jerebko,jonas........44%  17%  0.89  +17  7.5
turiaf,ronny.........31%  19%  0.74  + 4  3.8  maxiell,jason........13%  14%  1.82  - 4  3.2
harrellson,josh......33%   0% 10.95  + 2  2.5  mcgrady,tracy........35%  13%  0.54  + 1  2.3
walker,bill..........10%  18%  0.66  - 4  1.1  wallace,ben..........40%   5%  0.83    0  1.8
rautins,andy......... 4%  29%  0.33  - 2  0.4  bynum,will...........27%  15%  0.39  + 1  1.4
jeffries,jared.......46%   7%  0.11  -15  0.3  daye,austin..........44%  20%  0.09  + 3  0.7
PACE: 81.2          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%  PACE: 81.2          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
KNICKS...........   87.4 .432  .308 .209 .054  PISTONS..........  104.7 .462  .326 .160 .108

---

SUNS 112, TRAIL BLAZERS 111: The Blazers held a modest lead for nearly three quarters before Channing Frye's layup put the Suns up late in the third quarter. The Suns extended the lead to eight but Portland went on a 15-3 tear, during which Wesley Matthews scored eight of his 28 points. His three-pointer with 2:44 left capped the surge and put Portland up by four. Marcin Gortat and Steve Nash scored on consecutive possessions to draw the Suns even. Frye hit two free throws to tie the score with 1:27 remaining, then a short while later hit a three to put Phoenix up 112-109 with 31 seconds on the clock. Matthews beat Vince Carter and drew a foul, and his two free tosses drew Portland within one. Out of timeouts, the Blazers failed to foul after the inbounds, though Gortat was hit with a charging foul with two seconds remaining. Portland was unable to get off an attempt at a game-winning shot and the Suns escaped with their perfect record intact.

STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
PORTLAND                    26 25 27 33  111
PHOENIX                     21 22 36 33  112

                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
L.ALDRIDGE   38   8 18  44  0  0      1  2  50  -4   6  4 10  5  1  2  1  0  17
W.MATTHEWS   33   9 13  69  5  7  71  5  5 100   2   0  2  2  2  0  1  1  1  28
N.BATUM      40   6 11  55  2  7  29  3  4  75  -7   1  2  3  2  0  2  2  2  17
M.CAMBY      18   2  2 100  0  0      0  0       4   0  2  2  5  4  0  0  0   4
R.FELTON     30   5 12  42  3  7  43  0  0       5   0  3  3  7  4  2  2  0  13
G.WALLACE    29   2 10  20  1  2  50  2  2 100  -7   0  7  7  0  3  1  1  1   7
B.ROY        14   2  5  40  1  1 100  2  2 100  -3   0  0  0  2  0  0  0  0   7
C.JOHNSON     2   0  0      0  0      2  2 100   2   0  0  0  0  1  0  0  0   2
L.BABBITT     7   1  4  25  0  0      4  4 100   1   1  2  3  1  0  0  0  0   6
G.ODEN       12   0  3   0  0  0      2  2 100   8   3  2  5  1  1  0  2  0   2
N.SMITH      17   4  6  67  0  0      0  0      -6   1  1  2  2  1  0  2  0   8
PORTLAND     48  39 84  46 12 24  50 21 23  91      12 25 37 27 15  8 11  4 111
                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
C.FRYE       33   5  7  71  2  3  67  4  5  80  -2   0  6  6  0  2  0  1  1  16
S.NASH       34   4 11  36  1  4  25  4  4 100   1   2  2  4 14  1  1  4  0  13
G.HILL       28   6 12  50  0  2   0  2  2 100  -5   2  6  8  2  0  1  2  2  14
V.CARTER     31   6  9  67  2  3  67  0  0      -6   0  3  3  4  5  0  1  0  14
M.GORTAT     30   5  8  62  0  0      4  4 100  -5   0  3  3  0  1  0  2  2  14
J.DUDLEY     20   7  9  78  2  2 100  0  0       1   3  5  8  1  1  0  1  0  16
H.WARRICK     3   0  1   0  0  0      0  0       3   0  2  2  2  0  0  0  0   0
A.BROOKS     14   3 10  30  2  6  33  3  3 100   0   0  0  0  2  1  0  1  0  11
M.PIETRUS    12   1  6  17  1  5  20  0  0      11   0  0  0  0  4  0  0  0   3
R.LOPEZ      15   2  4  50  0  0      0  0       3   1  2  3  0  4  0  2  0   4
J.CHILDRESS   5   0  0      0  0      0  0       1   2  0  2  0  0  0  0  0   0
M.MORRIS     15   3  6  50  0  0      1  1 100   3   2  2  4  1  1  0  0  0   7
PHOENIX      48  42 83  51 10 25  40 18 19  95      12 31 43 26 20  2 14  5 112

PORTLAND                    PHOENIX
     Fast Break Pts   8          Fast Break Pts  20
  Second Chance Pts  10       Second Chance Pts  16
Points in the Paint  24     Points In the Paint  26
       Biggest Lead   8            Biggest Lead   8

BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
POR (1-2)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR  PHX (3-0)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
matthews,wesley......69%  22%  1.88  + 2 29.6  nash,steve...........71%  22%  1.44  + 1 23.0
aldridge,lamarcus....79%  24%  1.11  - 4 18.8  frye,channing........69%  13%  1.76  - 2 18.4
batum,nicolas........83%  16%  1.39  - 7 18.6  dudley,jared.........42%  22%  1.86  + 1 17.2
felton,raymond.......63%  21%  1.38  + 5 18.2  hill,grant...........58%  24%  1.13  - 5 15.0
wallace,gerald.......60%  18%  0.72  - 7  8.4  carter,vince.........65%  13%  1.72  - 6 13.6
smith,nolan..........35%  21%  1.10  - 6  7.9  gortat,marcin........63%  17%  1.14  - 5 11.5
roy,brandon..........29%  19%  1.42  - 3  6.0  brooks,aaron.........29%  42%  0.95    0 10.9
babbitt,luke.........15%  39%  1.11  + 1  6.0  morris,markieff......31%  19%  1.24  + 3  7.4
camby,marcus.........38%   3%  5.35  + 4  5.7  lopez,robin..........31%  17%  0.55  + 3  3.3
oden,greg............25%  22%  0.65  + 8  3.7  pietrus,mickael......25%  22%  0.36  +11  2.1
johnson,chris........ 4%  20%  1.51  + 2  1.2  warrick,hakim........ 6%  14%  2.25  + 3  1.9
mills,patrick........(DNP)                     childress,josh.......10%  10%  0.68  + 1  0.8
PACE: 89.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%  PACE: 89.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
TRAILBLAZERS.....  124.0 .536  .279 .123 .113  SUNS.............  125.1 .566  .324 .156 .093

---

LAKERS 116, HORNETS 97: The Lakers were taking on the 2-0 Hornets and looking to rebound from a loss at unbeaten Phoenix. Despite Kobe Bryant's early hot shooting, New Orleans led at the end of the first quarter and extended the lead to as many as nine in the second. Bryant and Andrew Bynum led a Lakers charge that tied the score, but Carl Landry's hoop at the second quarter buzzer gave the Hornets the halftime lead. The Lakers went on a 14-4 splurge at the end of the third quarter and scored the first four points on the fourth to open up a 13-point bulge. The Lakers pushed the lead to as many as 27 points and handed New Orleans its first defeat. Pau Gasol scored 27 points on 12-of-14 shooting to lead the Lakers and Bryant added 26 points.

STRAT-O-MATIC BOX SCORE
NEW ORLEANS                 26 25 19 27   97
LOS ANGELES L               22 27 30 37  116

                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
C.PAUL       36   4 10  40  0  2   0  6  6 100 -11   0  4  4 12  3  2  2  0  14
T.ARIZA      34   5 16  31  0  6   0  3  4  75  -5   1  0  1  0  4  1  0  1  13
D.WEST       25   4 10  40  0  0      5  6  83 -16   0  4  4  0  2  0  1  0  13
E.OKAFOR     34   6  8  75  0  0      1  4  25  -5   2  8 10  4  2  2  0  2  13
M.BELINELLI  33   3  7  43  0  1   0  0  0     -16   1  1  2  3  2  0  3  0   6
C.LANDRY     26   2  7  29  0  0      2  3  67 -18   2  3  5  0  4  0  0  0   6
J.JACK       14   7 11  64  2  3  67  0  0      -3   1  1  2  3  1  0  0  0  16
W.GREEN      21   5  8  62  1  4  25  0  0     -11   0  2  2  2  0  1  1  0  11
J.SMITH       1   0  0      0  0      0  0       2   0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0   0
Q.PONDEXTER   8   2  4  50  1  2  50  0  0      -6   0  2  2  0  1  0  0  0   5
A.GRAY        7   0  0      0  0      0  0       0   3  0  3  1  2  0  2  0   0
D.ILUNGA-MBE  1   0  0      0  0      0  0      -6   0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0   0
NEW ORLEANS  48  38 81  47  4 18  22 17 23  74      10 25 35 25 21  6  9  3  97
                 ----FG--- ---3PT--- ---FT---       REBOUNDS
NAME        MIN  MD AT PCT MD AT PCT MD AT PCT +/-  OF DF  T AS PF ST TO BK PTS
P.GASOL      34  12 14  86  0  0      3  4  75  20   2  5  7  1  2  1  1  4  27
K.BRYANT     30   8 18  44  1  2  50  9  9 100  14   1  3  4  4  4  0  4  1  26
L.ODOM       30   4  6  67  0  0      2  2 100  14   1  9 10  5  4  1  1  2  10
R.ARTEST     27   5  8  62  1  2  50  0  0      13   1  3  4  0  3  0  0  0  11
D.FISHER     22   2  5  40  2  3  67  0  0      11   0  0  0  4  2  0  0  0   6
S.BLAKE      21   2  5  40  2  4  50  0  0      11   0  1  1  1  3  0  2  0   6
S.BROWN      18   3  9  33  1  3  33  0  0       5   1  1  2  3  0  1  0  0   7
A.BYNUM      30   5  7  71  0  0      2  2 100  14   2  5  7  1  2  0  0  1  12
M.BARNES     19   3  6  50  1  3  33  2  2 100   6   1  3  4  0  0  1  0  0   9
D.CARACTER    2   0  0      0  0      0  0      -5   0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0   0
D.EBANKS      5   0  4   0  0  0      2  2 100  -3   1  0  1  0  0  0  0  0   2
T.RATLIFF     2   0  0      0  0      0  0      -5   0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0   0
LOS ANGELES  48  44 82  54  8 17  47 20 21  95      10 30 40 19 20  4  8  8 116

NEW ORLEANS                 LOS ANGELES L
     Fast Break Pts  12          Fast Break Pts  14
  Second Chance Pts   8       Second Chance Pts  10
Points in the Paint  30     Points In the Paint  42
       Biggest Lead   9            Biggest Lead  27

BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS BOX SCORE
NWO (1-2)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR  LAL (3-1)...........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
paul,chris...........75%  18%  1.53  -11 22.6  bryant,kobe..........63%  43%  0.96  +14 29.2
jack,jarrett.........29%  38%  1.59  - 3 18.5  gasol,pau............71%  23%  1.59  +20 26.6
okafor,emeka.........71%  12%  1.97  - 5 17.3  odom,lamar...........63%  11%  2.05  +14 17.2
green,willie.........44%  20%  1.44  -11 12.2  bynum,andrew.........63%  11%  1.77  +14 13.5
west,david...........52%  26%  0.84  -16 11.7  artest,ron...........56%  13%  1.40  +13 10.8
ariza,trevor.........71%  25%  0.61  - 5 11.2  barnes,matt..........40%  16%  1.51  + 6  9.8
belinelli,marco......69%  13%  0.80  -16  6.9  fisher,derek.........46%   9%  2.05  +11  9.8
landry,carl..........54%  14%  0.69  -18  5.6  brown,shannon........38%  24%  1.12  + 5  9.5
pondexter,quincy.....17%  23%  1.35  - 6  5.4  blake,steve..........44%  15%  1.02  +11  6.3
gray,aaron...........15%  12%  0.69    0  1.4  ebanks,devin.........10%  49%  0.39  - 3  2.1
smith,jason.......... 2%  53%  0.00  + 2  0.0  caracter,derrick..... 4%  26%  0.00  - 5  0.0
ilungambenga,didier..(DNP)                     ratliff,theo.........(DNP)  
PACE: 86.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%  PACE: 86.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
HORNETS..........  112.7 .494  .250 .105 .118  LAKERS...........  134.7 .585  .286 .093 .107

---

STRAT-O-MATIC STANDINGS, SCORES, SCHEDULE AND LEADERS
STANDINGS      SCORING AVERAGE     REBOUNDS⁄GAME       FIELD GOAL PCT
TEAM WON LOST  ------------------- ------------------- -------------------
NJN    2   0   K.DURANT  OKC 33.8  K.HUMPHRI NJN 16.5  M.BROOKS  NJN .769 
BOS    2   1   D.GALLINA DEN 33.5  A.JEFFERS UTA 13.0  J.VESELY  WAS .733 
TOR    1   2   L.ALDRIDG POR 32.0  A.BOGUT   MIL 12.7  N.HILARIO DEN .706 
PHI    1   2   L.JAMES   MIA 32.0  K.LOVE    MIN 12.7  M.MORRIS  PHX .647 
NYK    1   2   M.ELLIS   GSW 32.0  A.VAREJAO CLE 12.3  G.HENDERS CHA .640 
TEAM WON LOST
MIL    2   1   FREE THROW PCT      THREE POINT PCT     ASSISTS⁄GAME
DET    2   1   ------------------- ------------------- -------------------
CHI    2   1   A.MILLER  DEN1.000  C.ARROYO  BOS1.000  S.NASH    PHX 13.3 
IND    1   2   A.AFFLALO DEN1.000  E.ILYASOV MIL1.000  C.PAUL    NOH 11.7 
CLE    1   2   B.UDRIH   MIL1.000  J.JEFFRIE NYK1.000  R.RONDO   BOS 11.3 
TEAM WON LOST  B.JENNING MIL1.000  V.WAFER   BOS1.000  A.IGUODAL PHI 10.0 
MIA    2   1   C.BOSH    MIA1.000  D.HARRIS  UTA .800  R.WESTBRO OKC 10.0 
CHA    2   1
ORL    2   2   STEALS⁄GAME         TURNOVERS⁄GAME      BLOCKS⁄GAME
ATL    1   2   ------------------- ------------------- -------------------
WAS    0   3   T.ALLEN   MEM  3.3  D.ROSE    CHI  5.0  S.IBAKA   OKC  3.2 
TEAM WON LOST  A.IGUODAL PHI  2.7  J.WALL    WAS  4.3  A.STOUDEM NYK  3.0 
SAS    2   0   J.NOAH    CHI  2.7  R.RONDO   BOS  4.0  K.GARNETT BOS  3.0 
NOH    2   1   K.FARIED  DEN  2.5  Z.RANDOLP MEM  4.0  E.BRAND   PHI  2.7 
HOU    2   1   J.VESELY  WAS  2.3  D.HOWARD  ORL  3.8  E.OKAFOR  NOH  2.7 
MEM    1   2
DAL    1   2
TEAM WON LOST
DEN    2   0
MIN    2   1
UTA    1   2
POR    1   2
OKC    1   3
TEAM WON LOST
PHX    3   0
LAL    3   1
LAC    1   2
GSW    1   2
SAC    0   3

DATE  YESTERDAY'S SCORES        HIGH POINTS      HIGH REBOUNDS   HIGH ASSISTS
----  ------------------------  ---------------  --------------  ------------
11⁄6  CLE  93  @ LAC  91 (1 OT) E.GORDON 19      Multiple 12     B.DAVIS 7
11⁄6  LAL 116 vs NOH  97        P.GASOL 27       Multiple 10     C.PAUL 12
11⁄6  DET  85 vs NYK  71        Multiple 22      G.MONROE 9      C.BILLUPS 6
11⁄6  ORL 103 vs PHI  92        Multiple 23      D.HOWARD 12     A.IGUODALA 8
11⁄6  PHX 112 vs POR 111        W.MATTHEWS 28    L.ALDRIDGE 10   S.NASH 14
11⁄6  MIA 108 vs WAS  86        L.JAMES 39       L.JAMES 13      J.WALL 9

TODAY'S SCHEDULED GAMES
-----------------------
CLEVELAND (1-2) at DENVER (2-0)
DALLAS (1-2) at TORONTO (1-2)
LOS ANGELES L (3-1) at SACRAMENTO (0-3)
MILWAUKEE (2-1) at NEW JERSEY (2-0)
SAN ANTONIO (2-0) at GOLDEN STATE (1-2)

GLOSSARY
+/- (Plus-Minus) Raw data is from official box scores from NBA.com.
GR (Game Rating) Reflects a player's Points Created total, or the portion of his team's offense for which he gets credit based on his box score line. This number is then adjusted for estimated defensive performance based on box score counterpart productivity. GR is pace-adjusted so you can compare players from game to game.
PCP (Points Created Per Possession Used) An estimate of each player's points created per possession used, a measure of offensive efficiency. The stat accounts for a player's entire box score line, not just the scoring categories.
PLY% (Play percentage) An estimate of the percentage of a team's possessions on which the player was on the court.
USG An estimate of how many of those plays a player used by shooting, going to the line or committing a turnover, with a portion the team's offensive rebound total subtracted.
TEAM STATS
PACE: Estimated possessions in the game.
ORTG: A team's points per 100 possessions.
eFG%: Team's shooting percentage with an extra half-point added for each made three-point field goal.
oRB%: Percentage of a team's misses that they retrieved off the offensive glass.
TO%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a turnover.
FTA%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a trip to the foul line.

Bradford Doolittle is an author of Basketball Prospectus. You can contact Bradford by clicking here or click here to see Bradford's other articles.

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2011-11-06 - Sim Season: This is All We Have
2011-11-05 - Sim Season: Trouble in Big D
2011-11-04 - Sim Season: TNT
More...

MORE SIM SEASON
2011-11-10 - Sim Season: Golden Nuggets
2011-11-09 - Sim Season: Not Perfect
2011-11-08 - Sim Season: Ouch
2011-11-07 - Sim Season: One Week in the Books
2011-11-06 - Sim Season: This is All We Have
2011-11-05 - Sim Season: Trouble in Big D
2011-11-04 - Sim Season: TNT
More...

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