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Redrafting the NBA (08/24)
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August 25, 2011
Redrafting the NBA
Round Four

Basketball Prospectus


After Drew Cannon ranked the NCAA's top 100 players, we wanted to do the same for the NBA. In the interim, a host of player rankings popped up all over the Internet. So instead, we decided to try something different: Redrafting the NBA.

Over the next three weeks, Basketball Prospectus' four NBA analysts will be drafting two teams apiece for a total of eight teams and 96 players. We will be selecting players strictly on the basis of expected performance during the 2011-12 season, giving our own ranking of sorts--though one affected by positional scarcity and other outside factors.

Previous rounds: 1 | 2 | 3

25. Dan B - Amar'e Stoudemire, F/C, New York Knicks
I'm fairly certain Amar'e is the first player drafted to be a backup (although Garnett can slide to small forward). Amar'e is just too talented and productive to pass on, and Garnett-Stoudemire defense-offense substitutions will keep opponents from ever having an edge. Plus, another quality big on my team means one fewer on another team

26. Bradford B - Al Horford, F/C, Atlanta Hawks
After taking Noah to shore up my interior defense, I wanted somebody with a little better scoring chops but who also is a plus defender. My options were another big or a two-guard. Scanning the lists, it seems like Horford is the best value. He's a better scorer than Noah but he won't take a lot of shots away from D-Will or Durant. He's also adept at running the floor and, like Noah, is a good passer. I am a little concerned that they tend to occupy similar positions on the floor, but it seemed to work out fine when they played together at Florida.

27. Kevin B - Nene, C, Denver Nuggets
I need a legitimate center to pair with Blake Griffin and, after a run on big men--I expected one or both of Horford and Noah to still be available--Nene is the best available. I'm a little dubious whether he can anchor the kind of defense I want, but Nene will certainly provide high-percentage finishing in the paint and I know he can work well with Carmelo.

28. Sebastian B - Hedo Turkoglu, SF, Orlando Magic
This is where things are going to get a little crazy for me because of how I drafted in the first couple rounds. I really want to have thre- point shooting threat to play around Duncan's post-up ability, Chris Paul's decision making, and Russell Westbrook's explosiveness. However, because I plan on playing Paul and Westbrook at the guard spots, the players that I'd ideally take here, Ray Allen or Steph Curry, aren't an option. That leaves me with Hedo Turkoglu. He fits, and it is now being apparent that this team is going to lead the league in pick-and roll-plays, having three different players who can bring the ball up and play PNR (although play it very differently) with Tim Duncan.

29. Sebastian A - Tyson Chandler, C, Dallas Mavericks
When you look at the three aging players that I selected in the first three rounds for team A, you don't think defense. That's why we need a stopper in the middle of the paint who can help, block shots, and organize a defense. That's why we need Tyson Chandler. Yes I realize that I am essentially drafting the Dallas Mavericks here, but since they are the defending champs, there are worse teams I can take my team from.

30. Kevin A - Josh Smith, F, Atlanta Hawks
I'm comfortable playing Aldridge in the middle, but need a quality defensive rebounder to help him out on the glass. Smith qualifies and gives me a frontcourt that will be difficult to match athletically. Ultimately, this came down to two lefty tweener forwards who are good passers for their position. Smith and Lamar Odom had virtually identical WARP totals last season, but since Smith is on the rise and Odom likely to decline in his 30s, he gets the nod.

31. Bradford A - Luol Deng, SF, Chicago Bulls
I'm building a defensive juggernaut with this team, but with Rondo and Howard on board, I need wings that can both shoot and defend. At least one of them has to be fairly proficient at creating his own offense. Looking over the available twos and threes, I like Deng's ability to guard the top-scoring threes in the league. He can also slide over and play some four in smaller lineups. He's turned himself into a good enough outside shooter that he can hit the deep ball but also can get to the hoop against hard closeouts. I like long-armed defenders and, with Rondo and Deng, I've got two of the best at their respective positions.

32. Dan A - Chris Bosh, PF, Miami Heat
If this team is serious about capitalizing on Steve Nash's ability to run the fast break--and if it wasn't, why draft him?--it needed another up-tempo player here. Bosh not only fits that bill, he's the best player available. And he can deal with LeBron personally, it appears.

Complete draft order

1. Dan A - LeBron James, SF, Miami Heat
2. Bradford A - Dwight Howard, C, Orlando Magic
3. Kevin A - Dwyane Wade, SG, Miami Heat
4. Sebastian A - Chris Paul, PG, New Orleans Hornets
5. Sebastian B - Dirk Nowitzki, PF, Dallas Mavericks
6. Kevin B - Derrick Rose, PG, Chicago Bulls
7. Bradford B - Kevin Durant, SF, Oklahoma City Thunder
8. Dan B - Kobe Bryant, SG, L.A. Lakers
9. Dan B - Pau Gasol, F/C, L.A. Lakers
10. Bradford B - Deron Williams, PG, New Jersey Nets
11. Kevin B - Blake Griffin, PF, L.A. Clippers
12. Sebastian B - Manu Ginobili, SG, San Antonio Spurs
13. Sebastian A - Tim Duncan, F/C, San Antonio Spurs
14. Kevin A - LaMarcus Aldridge, F/C, Portland Trail Blazers
15. Bradford A - Kevin Love, PF, Minnesota Timberwolves
16. Dan A - Steve Nash, PG, Phoenix Suns
17. Dan A - Zach Randolph, PF, Memphis Grizzlies
18. Bradford A - Rajon Rondo, PG, Boston Celtics
19. Kevin A - Paul Pierce, SF, Boston Celtics
20. Sebastian A - Russell Westbrook, G, Oklahoma City Thunder
21. Sebastian B - Jason Kidd, PG, Dallas Mavericks
22. Kevin B - Carmelo Anthony, SF, New York Knicks
23. Bradford B - Joakim Noah, C, Chicago Bulls
24. Dan B - Kevin Garnett, PF, Boston Celtics
25. Dan B - Amar'e Stoudemire, F/C, New York Knicks
26. Bradford B - Al Horford, F/C, Atlanta Hawks
27. Kevin B - Nene, C, Denver Nuggets
28. Sebastian B - Hedo Turkoglu, SF, Orlando Magic
29. Sebastian A - Tyson Chandler, C, Dallas Mavericks
30. Kevin A - Josh Smith, F, Atlanta Hawks
31. Bradford A - Luol Deng, SF, Chicago Bulls
32. Dan A - Chris Bosh, PF, Miami Heat

Complete rosters

Dan A - Nash/James/Bosh/Z. Randolph
Bradford A - Rondo/Deng/Love/Howard
Kevin A - Wade/Pierce/J. Smith/Aldridge
Sebastian A - Paul/Westbrook/Turkoglu/Duncan
Sebastian B - Kidd/Ginobili/Nowitzki/Chandler
Kevin B - Rose/Anthony/Griffin/Nene
Bradford B - D. Williams/Durant/Horford/Noah

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Redrafting the NBA (08/24)
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Premium Article Taking the Next Step (08/26)

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2011-09-01 - Redrafting the NBA: Round Eight
2011-08-31 - Redrafting the NBA: Round Seven
2011-08-30 - Redrafting the NBA: Round Six
2011-08-25 - Redrafting the NBA: Round Four
2011-08-24 - Redrafting the NBA: Round Three
2011-08-23 - Redrafting the NBA: Round Two
2011-08-22 - Redrafting the NBA: Round One

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