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February 11, 2011
The Shootaround
Ray-Ray King of the Trey

by Bradford Doolittle

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HEADLINER

Boston's Ray Allen became the NBA's all-time leader in three-point shots made on Thursday, hitting a pull-up trey in transition during the first quarter of Boston's loss to the L.A. Lakers. It was a nice moment, as Reggie Miller, the man whose record was broken, was on the sideline calling the game for TNT and exchanged a hug with the new record-holder. Allen didn't just break the total of 2,560 treys that has stood since Miller retired, he became the first player other Miller to hold the mark in 14 years.

PROGRESSIVE LEADERS, CAREER THREE-POINTERS
YEAR  PLAYER            TPM   YEAR  PLAYER          TPM
---------------------------   -------------------------
1980  Brian Taylor       90   1996  Dale Ellis     1269
1981  Brian Taylor      134   1997  Dale Ellis     1461
1982  Joe Hassett       193   1998  Reggie Miller  1596
1983  Joe Hassett       194   1999  Reggie Miller  1702
1984  Joe Hassett       194   2000  Reggie Miller  1867
1985  Darrell Griffith  246   2001  Reggie Miller  2037
1986  Larry Bird        267   2002  Reggie Miller  2217
1987  Larry Bird        357   2003  Reggie Miller  2330
1988  Larry Bird        455   2004  Reggie Miller  2464
1989  Dale Ellis        472   2005  Reggie Miller  2560
1990  Dale Ellis        568   2006  Reggie Miller  2560
1991  Michael Adams     658   2007  Reggie Miller  2560
1992  Michael Adams     783   2008  Reggie Miller  2560
1993  Dale Ellis        882   2009  Reggie Miller  2560
1994  Dale Ellis       1013   2010  Reggie Miller  2560
1995  Dale Ellis       1119   2011  Ray Allen      2562
SOURCE: basketball-reference.com

As you can see, the record was broken every season until Miller retired except for a two-year stretch in the early 1980s when Joe Hassett held the mark. Just to show you how much three-point prowess was valued when Hassett played, he made only one more three-pointer after passing Brian Taylor in 1982--and he was only 26 years old. He played one more partial season, during which he made only one three-pointer, then sat on the record for another year before being passed by Darrell Griffith in 1985.

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LIVE AT BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS

Sloan: The Legacy (by Bradford Doolittle): The thing we'll remember most about Jerry Sloan is that he did things his way.

The Clipboard: Sloan's Xs and Os (by Sebastian Pruiti): A tribute to Jerry Sloan after his sudden resignation takes a look at the long-time Jazz coach's most effective plays coming out of timeouts (premium)

Amazing Pace: Jayhawks on a Tear (by C.J. Moore): Can a team that's not even in first place in its own conference be playing some of the best offense seen in recent years? Apparently. C.J. Moore gives a guided tour of the remarkable Kansas offense. (premium)

What's Next? Life After Sloan in Utah (by Kevin Pelton): Thursday was all about paying tribute to Jerry Sloan's legendary run at the helm of the Utah Jazz. Starting tomorrow, the Jazz will have to refocus on the playoff race and an uncertain future. (premium)

The Class of 2007: A Look Back (by Kevin Pelton): Three of the league's brightest young stars were top prep prospects four years ago. Here's a look at where they ranked and what happened to the rest of the prospects in the high school class of 2007. (premium)

All Eyes on Pitt: Is This the Year? (by John Gasaway) They're alone atop the Big East and poised for their second 1-seed in three seasons, but the Panthers aren't satisfied. They want to get to the Final Four. In his feature for ESPN Insider, John weighs their chances. (premium)

Getting to the Line: Derrick Rose's Development (by Kevin Pelton): A conspicuous lack of free throw attempts had held back Derrick Rose's game, but improving in this regard has helped fuel his breakthrough over the last two months. (free)

Poll Position: Carolina is Back (by John Gasaway): Just in time for tonight's showdown at Duke, the Tar Heels are suddenly looking much more Tar Heel-like. In his feature for ESPN Insider, John explains what's changed in Chapel Hill.

On the Beat: Adjustment for Gibson (by John Perrotto): In Cleveland Daniel Gibson is negotiating the transition from how the Cavaliers used to be to the way they are now.

Tuesday Truths: Post-NFL Edition (by John Gasaway): North Carolina and Alabama are rising, Washington and Michigan State are falling, and Wyoming's changing horses mid-stream. Time to pay attention to the sport where Green Bay's 6-6 in the Horizon League. (free)

Follow Unfiltered, the Basketball Prospectus blog.

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FANTASY PROJECTIONS

Our downloadable Basketball Fantasy Projection spreadsheets are available for anyone with a premium subscription to Basketball Prospectus. The sheet is updated weekly and can be found on your 'Manage Profile' page. The download includes a forecast for the seven days, Monday through Sunday, for every player, game-by-game projections, health status updates and current team rotations. (Current projections reflect week of Feb. 7-13.)

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HOOPS CHATS

Basketball Prospectus authors take your questions from time to time in always-popular chat format. All chats begin at 1 p.m. EST on the day listed, but you can go in and submit a question beforehand if you like, or read the transcript after the fact.

Feb. 3: Kevin Pelton (TRANSCRIPT)

Jan. 28: Bradford Doolittle (TRANSCRIPT)

Jan. 14: John Gasaway (TRANSCRIPT)

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HOT FIVES

POWER RATING (POW)       GR (02/10/11)           WP82 -- ALL        WP82 -- ROOKIES
San Antonio Spurs, 64.4  anthony,carmelo, 49.8   james,lebron, 36.3 griffin,blake, 20.2
Miami Heat, 57.8         terry,jason, 32.1       paul,chris, 31.6   wall,john, 5.6
Boston Celtics, 57.6     afflalo,arron, 30.4     rose,derrick, 28.8 fields,landry, 4.9
Los Angeles Lakers, 55.3 billups,chauncey, 28.3  gasol,pau, 27.0    neal,gary, 4.7
Dallas Mavericks, 54.9   udoh,epke, 25.4         bryant,kobe, 26.6  turner,evan, 3.5
Note: GR leaders are from previous night only.

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LEADERBOARD

NORMAN DALE INDEX
TEAM, POW                          TEAM, POW
 1. Dallas Mavericks, 5.154        16. Portland Trail Blazers, 4.993
 2. Philadelphia 76ers, 5.141      17. Cleveland Cavaliers, 4.983
 3. Houston Rockets, 5.129         18. Chicago Bulls, 4.982
 4. Boston Celtics, 5.122          19. Golden State Warriors, 4.973
 5. Denver Nuggets, 5.120          20. Milwaukee Bucks, 4.948
 6. San Antonio Spurs, 5.112       21. Memphis Grizzlies, 4.929
 7. Utah Jazz, 5.112               22. Detroit Pistons, 4.910
 8. New York Knicks, 5.110         23. New Jersey Nets, 4.906
 9. Atlanta Hawks, 5.108           24. Toronto Raptors, 4.904
10. Oklahoma City Thunder, 5.089   25. Washington Wizards, 4.902
11. Los Angeles Lakers, 5.088      26. Orlando Magic, 4.888
12. Phoenix Suns, 5.078            27. Minnesota Timberwolves, 4.863
13. Miami Heat, 5.057              28. Charlotte Bobcats, 4.835
14. Indiana Pacers, 5.045          29. Sacramento Kings, 4.814
15. New Orleans Hornets, 5.017     30. Los Angeles Clippers, 4.791
NOTE: The DALE index is a measure of how fundamentally sound a team
is, with 5.000 being the league average. The methodology is laid out
here (http://www.basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=987)

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THURSDAY'S RESULTS

NOTE: Glossary is at bottom of page.

LAKERS 92, CELTICS 86 (box): After laying in wait for 3 1/2 quarters, Kobe Bryant scored eight points in the last half of the final quarter as the Lakers picked up their signature win of the season to date.

LAL (37-16).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   BOS (38-14).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
gasol,pau............78%  20%  1.41  +13 22.6   pierce,paul..........83%  21%  0.99  - 1 24.3
bryant,kobe..........79%  30%  0.99  +12 20.6   allen,ray............74%  26%  1.01  - 4 20.6
brown,shannon........47%  22%  1.24  - 1 19.9   rondo,rajon..........92%  15%  1.36  -11 15.1
odom,lamar...........51%  29%  0.97  - 8 14.6   garnett,kevin........70%  24%  0.96  - 8 12.5
bynum,andrew.........71%  23%  1.01  + 9 11.6   wafer,von............41%  14%  1.25  - 4 10.5
fisher,derek.........64%  13%  1.19  +13 10.9   perkins,kendrick.....65%  18%  1.10  - 7 10.4
artest,ron...........82%   7%  0.87  + 2  6.5   davis,glen...........64%  17%  1.00  + 1  8.1
blake,steve..........24%   6%  0.90  - 9  2.2   robinson,nate........ 8%  15%  0.38  + 5  0.6
walton,luke.......... 5%  20%  0.38  - 1  0.3   bradley,avery........ 3%  42%  0.00  - 1  0.0
caracter,derrick.....(DNP)                      erden,semih..........(DNP)  
ebanks,devin.........(DNP)                      harangody,luke.......(DNP)  
smith,joe............(DNP)                      o'neal,shaquille.....(DNP)  
PACE: 84.2          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 84.2          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Lakers...........  109.3 .500  .333 .178 .131   Celtics..........  102.2 .433  .255 .119 .099

---

SUNS 112, WARRIORS 88 (box): The Suns won for the ninth time in 13 games, moved back to the .500 mark and held their opponent below a point per possession for the fourth time in six games.

GSW (23-29).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   PHX (25-25).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
udoh,epke............63%  21%  1.13  + 1 25.4   nash,steve...........55%  32%  1.37  +19 24.3
williams,reggie......59%  22%  1.36  -11 12.7   frye,channing........59%  22%  1.41  +27 16.8
curry,stephen........52%  23%  1.12  -26  9.9   dowdell,zabian.......45%  23%  1.35  + 5 15.2
wright,brandan.......51%  14%  1.52  - 2  9.6   lopez,robin..........32%  33%  1.04  +18 11.0
ellis,monta..........58%  23%  0.47  -22  8.3   hill,grant...........55%  12%  1.03  +22 10.5
lee,david............52%  23%  0.92  -25  8.1   carter,vince.........34%  16%  1.20  + 8  9.5
wright,dorell........47%  19%  0.49  -25  7.3   pietrus,mickael......51%   9%  1.89  +14  9.2
bell,charlie.........33%  19%  1.06  - 1  5.8   dudley,jared.........42%  17%  1.87  + 6  9.0
radmanovic,vladimir..25%  10%  1.60  - 1  3.7   warrick,hakim........41%  28%  0.86  - 3  7.3
lin,jeremy...........37%  12%  0.88    0  2.9   gortat,marcin........58%  13%  0.79  + 3  3.9
biedrins,andris......23%  20%  0.61  - 8  2.0   siler,garret.........10%  18%  1.96  + 3  3.0
gadzuric,dan.........(DNP)                      childress,josh.......18%   9%  1.94  - 2  2.0
PACE: 92.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 92.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Warriors.........   95.7 .433  .205 .163 .081   Suns.............  121.8 .595  .343 .109 .067

---

NUGGETS 121, MAVERICKS 120 (box): In a great game at Denver, Arron Afflalo capped of an 11-1 game-ending run with 22-footer at the buzzer for the Nuggets, which got another huge game from red-hot Carmelo Anthony.

DAL (37-16).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   DEN (30-24).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
terry,jason..........68%  28%  1.35  +11 32.1   anthony,carmelo......88%  33%  1.34  + 6 49.8
chandler,tyson.......65%  20%  1.45  - 7 23.8   afflalo,arron........72%  23%  1.43  + 3 30.4
marion,shawn.........58%  30%  1.00  - 2 21.4   billups,chauncey.....82%  28%  1.55  + 8 28.3
barea,jose...........55%  25%  1.31  +15 19.8   martin,kenyon........58%  10%  1.52  + 4  8.9
nowitzki,dirk........76%  16%  1.44  -11 13.7   lawson,ty............53%  10%  1.52  - 5  4.9
kidd,jason...........72%  13%  1.61  -13  8.2   hilario,nene.........56%  16%  0.93  +11  4.5
haywood,brendan......21%  19%  0.90  + 3  4.6   harrington,al........40%  13%  0.55  -14  1.6
cardinal,brian.......34%   3%  2.08  +18  2.1   forbes,gary.......... 4%  20%  0.91  - 1  0.9
mahinmi,ian..........14%  19%  1.05  + 3  2.1   andersen,chris.......21%  10%  0.59  + 7  0.7
stojakovic,peja......19%  19%  0.50  - 9  1.0   smith,j.r............28%   5%  0.47  -14  0.4
stevenson,deshawn....19%   8%  0.58  -13  0.5   carter,anthony.......(DNP)  
jones,dominique......(DNP)                      williams,shelden.....(DNP)  
PACE: 92.9          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 92.9          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Mavericks........  129.2 .601  .297 .161 .118   Nuggets..........  130.2 .613  .263 .108 .114

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NEWS & MOVES

Minutiae from press releases around the league

NBA: New Orleans Hornets guard Chris Paul has been fined $15,000 for verbal abuse of a game official, it was announced today by Stu Jackson, NBA Executive Vice President, Basketball Operations. The incident occurred following the Hornets' 103-101 overtime loss to the New Jersey Nets at the Prudential Center in Newark, N.J. on February 9.

MAVERICKS: The Dallas Mavericks announced today that guard Dominique Jones underwent surgery to address a stress fracture to the fifth metatarsal in his right foot. The surgery was performed by Dr. T.O. Souryal of Texas Sports Medicine. No timetable has been set for his return. Jones (6-5, 215) was originally the 25th overall pick in the 2010 NBA Draft by the Memphis Grizzlies. The Mavericks acquired his rights from Memphis in exchange for cash considerations in a draft day trade. Jones has seen action in 18 games for the Mavericks this season and holds averages of 2.3 points, 1.4 rebounds and 1.1 assists in 7.5 minutes per game.

PISTONS: The Detroit Pistons announced today that the club will retire Dennis Rodman's No. 10 jersey during a halftime ceremony on April 1, 2011 when the Pistons host the Chicago Bulls at The Palace of Auburn Hills. Drafted 27th overall by the Pistons in the 1986 NBA Draft, Rodman was a key member of the Pistons 'Bad Boys' teams that led the franchise to back-to-back championships in 1989 and 1990. An elite defender and rebounder, he averaged 8.8 points, 11.5 rebounds, and 1.3 assists while shooting 54 percent from the field in 549 games as a Piston.

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LINK-IN

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ON TAP

Tonight in the NBA

WTC  VIS @ HOM,  GAMETIME     NBAPET LINE    OFFICIALS
+15  nwo @ orl,  7:00 PM EST [ orl by  6 ]   D.Jones, K.Fehr, E.Roe
+11  lal @ nyk,  8:00 PM EST [ lal by  3 ]   K.Mauer, B.Barnaky, C.Kirkland
+10  sas @ phi,  7:00 PM EST [ sas by  4 ]   D.Crawford, V.Palmer, M.Smith
+ 7  phx @ uta, 10:30 PM EST [ uta by  1 ]   M.Davis, P.Fraher, T.Nunez
+ 3  mil @ mem,  8:00 PM EST [ mem by  5 ]   B.Salvatore, N.Buchert, G.Zielinski
- 1  min @ ind,  7:00 PM EST [ ind by  8 ]   J.Crawford, T.Brown, L.Wood
- 2  mia @ det,  7:30 PM EST [ mia by 11 ]   M.Callahan, D.Richardson, S.Wright
- 4  njn @ cha,  7:00 PM EST [ cha by  6 ]   J.Phillips, M.Kogut, T.Washington
- 6  por @ tor,  7:00 PM EST [ por by  3 ]   R.Garretson, E.Dalen, L.Richardson
-16  lac @ cle,  7:30 PM EST [ lac by  4 ]   Z.Zarba, O.Poole, H.Workman
Note: WTC is a junk stat rating the "watchability" of a game, taking into
account the quality of the opponents and the likelihood of a close game.

Through Wednesday, 783 of 1,230 games (63.7 percent) have been played in the 2010-11 NBA regular season.

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GLOSSARY
+/- (Plus-Minus) Raw data is from official box scores from NBA.com.
GR (Game Rating) Reflects a player's Points Created total, or the portion of his team's offense for which he gets credit based on his box score line. This number is then adjusted for estimated defensive performance based on box score counterpart productivity. GR is pace-adjusted so you can compare players from game to game.
PCP (Points Created Per Possession Used) An estimate of each player's points created per possession used, a measure of offensive efficiency. The stat accounts for a player's entire box score line, not just the scoring categories.
PLY% (Play percentage) An estimate of the percentage of a team's possessions on which the player was on the court.
USG An estimate of how many of those plays a player used by shooting, going to the line or committing a turnover, with a portion the team's offensive rebound total subtracted.
TEAM STATS
PACE: Estimated possessions in the game.
ORTG: A team's points per 100 possessions.
eFG%: Team's shooting percentage with an extra half-point added for each made three-point field goal.
oRB%: Percentage of a team's misses that they retrieved off the offensive glass.
TO%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a turnover.
FTA%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a trip to the foul line.

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TWITTER DIRECTORY
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